Campbell B J
J Trauma. 1987 Jul;27(7):733-9. doi: 10.1097/00005373-198707000-00007.
This paper examines the effectiveness of seat belts in reducing injury among passenger car drivers and right front passengers. The analysis is based on more than 1.5 million occupants involved in North Carolina crashes during the years 1973-1981. Initial results show that seat belts reduce the risk of serious injury to the driver by 58% and fatal injury by 73%. For right front passengers, the comparable figures are 53% and 66%. When a measure of vehicle deformity reflecting the severity of the crash is introduced as a control variable, these effectiveness values decline somewhat. Depending on the specific approach taken, seat belts are shown to reduce the risk of serious injury to passenger car drivers by 51-52%, and the risk of fatal injury by 63-67%. For right front passengers, the effectiveness ranges are 43-44% for serious injury and 53-55% for fatal injury. While these adjusted estimates of belt effectiveness are lower than those based on the raw data, they nevertheless represent considerable benefit to car occupants using seat belts.
本文研究了安全带在降低乘用车驾驶员和右前乘客受伤风险方面的有效性。该分析基于1973年至1981年期间北卡罗来纳州发生的超过150万起事故中的驾乘人员。初步结果显示,安全带可将驾驶员受重伤的风险降低58%,受致命伤的风险降低73%。对于右前乘客,相应的数据分别为53%和66%。当引入一个反映事故严重程度的车辆变形指标作为控制变量时,这些有效性数值会有所下降。根据所采用的具体方法,安全带可将乘用车驾驶员受重伤的风险降低51% - 52%,受致命伤的风险降低63% - 67%。对于右前乘客,重伤风险的有效性范围为43% - 44%,致命伤风险的有效性范围为53% - 55%。虽然这些安全带有效性的调整估计值低于基于原始数据的估计值,但对于使用安全带的汽车驾乘人员来说,它们仍然代表着相当大的益处。