Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Organismal Biology, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa, USA.
Glob Chang Biol. 2023 Feb;29(3):603-617. doi: 10.1111/gcb.16457. Epub 2022 Nov 16.
Models applying space-for-time substitution, including those projecting ecological responses to climate change, generally assume an elevational and latitudinal equivalence that is rarely tested. However, a mismatch may lead to different capacities for providing climatic refuge to dispersing species. We compiled community data on zooplankton, ectothermic animals that form the consumer basis of most aquatic food webs, from over 1200 mountain lakes and ponds across western North America to assess biodiversity along geographic temperature gradients spanning nearly 3750 m elevation and 30° latitude. Species richness, phylogenetic relationships, and functional diversity all showed contrasting responses across gradients, with richness metrics plateauing at low elevations but exhibiting intermediate latitudinal maxima. The nonmonotonic/hump-shaped diversity trends with latitude emerged from geographic interactions, including weaker latitudinal relationships at higher elevations (i.e. in alpine lakes) linked to different underlying drivers. Here, divergent patterns of phylogenetic and functional trait dispersion indicate shifting roles of environmental filters and limiting similarity in the assembly of communities with increasing elevation and latitude. We further tested whether gradients showed common responses to warmer temperatures and found that mean annual (but not seasonal) temperatures predicted elevational richness patterns but failed to capture consistent trends with latitude, meaning that predictions of how climate change will influence diversity also differ between gradients. Contrasting responses to elevation- and latitude-driven warming suggest different limits on climatic refugia and likely greater barriers to northward range expansion.
模型应用时空替代法,包括那些预测气候变化对生态响应的模型,通常假设海拔和纬度等效性,但这种等效性很少被检验。然而,不匹配可能导致向扩散物种提供气候避难所的能力不同。我们从北美西部的 1200 多个高山湖泊和池塘中收集了关于浮游动物(形成大多数水生食物网消费者基础的变温动物)的群落数据,以评估跨越近 3750 米海拔和 30°纬度的地理温度梯度上的生物多样性。物种丰富度、系统发育关系和功能多样性在梯度上均表现出相反的响应,丰富度指标在低海拔处达到峰值,但在中间纬度处出现最大值。多样性与纬度的非单调/驼峰形趋势源于地理相互作用,包括在较高海拔(即高山湖泊)中较弱的纬度关系,这与不同的潜在驱动因素有关。在这里,系统发育和功能特征分散的不同模式表明,环境过滤和限制相似性在随着海拔和纬度增加而进行群落组装时的作用发生了转变。我们进一步测试了这些梯度是否对较暖温度表现出共同的响应,发现年平均(而非季节性)温度预测了海拔丰富度模式,但未能捕捉到与纬度一致的趋势,这意味着气候变化对多样性的影响的预测在不同梯度之间也存在差异。对海拔和纬度驱动的变暖的不同响应表明,气候避难所存在不同的限制,并且可能向北扩张的障碍更大。