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能源消费偏好与宏观经济稳定之间的关系:来自亚洲发展中国家的实证分析。

Association between energy consumption preferences and macroeconomic stability: an empirical analysis from developing Asia.

机构信息

The Open University of Nanhai, Foshan City, Guangdong Province, China.

Department of Economics, Government College University Lahore, Lahore, Pakistan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Feb;30(7):18777-18784. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-23352-7. Epub 2022 Oct 11.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-022-23352-7
PMID:36219294
Abstract

The study examined the impact of macroeconomic performance and energy consumption on carbon emissions in Asian developing countries. Although, macroeconomic performance is a critical measure for the determination of development in societies. Thus, the examination of macroeconomic performance variables is a core issue for policymakers. The panel quantile regression model assesses the macroeconomic performance at several quantiles, ranging from 0.05 to 0.95. The effect of macroeconomic performance and energy consumption on CO emissions has also been established. The findings indicate that CO emissions and macroeconomic performance are negatively associated in all quantiles of macroeconomic performance. Though, fossil fuel energy and population growth positively influence carbon emissions in all low and medium quantiles but this relationship becomes weaker in the upper quantiles. In addition, hydroelectricity consumption and carbon emissions are negatively and significantly associated in the quantile ranges of low and higher. Based on the aforementioned results, the study suggests the formulation of such policies that can improve macroeconomic performance in the region and the promotion of hydel energy instead of fossil fuels to reduce environmental pollution in developing Asian countries. Moreover, the population control program, promotion of renewable energy, and dangers of fossil fuel consumption should be a part of public policies to control environmental issues by reducing carbon emissions at the regional level.

摘要

该研究考察了亚洲发展中国家的宏观经济表现和能源消耗对碳排放的影响。尽管宏观经济表现是衡量社会发展的重要指标,但对宏观经济表现变量的考察是政策制定者的核心问题。面板分位数回归模型评估了从 0.05 到 0.95 的几个分位数的宏观经济表现。还确定了宏观经济表现和能源消耗对 CO 排放的影响。研究结果表明,在所有宏观经济表现分位数中,CO 排放和宏观经济表现均呈负相关。然而,化石燃料能源和人口增长在所有低和中分位数都对碳排放有正向影响,但这种关系在高分位数时会减弱。此外,水电消费与碳排放在低和更高分位数范围内呈负相关且显著相关。基于上述结果,研究建议制定可以改善该地区宏观经济表现的政策,并推广水力发电而不是化石燃料,以减少发展中亚洲国家的环境污染。此外,人口控制计划、可再生能源的推广以及化石燃料消耗的危险应该成为公共政策的一部分,通过减少区域层面的碳排放来控制环境问题。

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