Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, United States of America.
Hazards Vulnerability and Resilience Institute, University of South Carolina, Columbia, South Carolina, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2022 Oct 20;17(10):e0275975. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0275975. eCollection 2022.
An ongoing debate in academic and practitioner communities, centers on the measurement similarities and differences between social vulnerability and community resilience. More specifically, many see social vulnerability and community resilience measurements as conceptually and empirically the same. Only through a critical and comparative assessment can we ascertain the extent to which these measurement schemas empirically relate to one another. This paper uses two well-known indices-the social vulnerability index (SoVI) and the Baseline Resilience Indicators for Communities (BRIC) to address the topic. The paper employs spatio-temporal correlations to test for differences or divergence (negative associations) and similarities or convergence (positive associations), and the degree of overlap. These tests use continental U.S. counties, two timeframes (2010 and 2015), and two case study sub-regions (to identify changes in measurement associations going from national to regional scales given the place-based nature of each index). Geospatial analytics indicate a divergence with little overlap between SoVI and BRIC measurements, based on low negative correlation coefficients (around 30%) for both time periods. There is some spatial variability in measurement overlap, but less than 2% of counties show hot spot clustering of correlations of more than 50% in either year. The strongest overlap and divergence in both years occurs in few counties in California, Arizona, and Maine. The degree of overlap in measurements at the regional scale is greater in the Gulf Region (39%) than in the Southeast Atlantic region (21% in 2010; 28% in 2015) suggesting more homogeneity in Gulf Coast counties based on population and place characteristics. However, in both study areas SoVI and BRIC measurements are negatively associated. Given their inclusion in the National Risk Index, both social vulnerability and resilience metrics are needed to interpret the local community capacities in natural hazards risk planning, as a vulnerable community could be highly resilient or vice versa.
社会脆弱性和社区恢复力的测量在学术和实践界一直存在争议,其中心问题是测量的相似性和差异性。具体来说,许多人认为社会脆弱性和社区恢复力的测量在概念上和经验上是相同的。只有通过批判性和比较性评估,我们才能确定这些测量方案在多大程度上彼此相关。本文使用两个著名的指标——社会脆弱性指数(SoVI)和社区基线恢复力指标(BRIC)来解决这个问题。本文采用时空相关来检验差异或发散(负相关)以及相似性或收敛(正相关),以及重叠程度。这些测试使用美国大陆县、两个时间框架(2010 年和 2015 年)和两个案例研究子区域(为了识别从国家到区域尺度的测量关联变化,因为每个指数都具有基于地点的性质)。地理空间分析表明,SoVI 和 BRIC 测量之间存在分歧,重叠度低,两个时间段的负相关系数都在 30%左右。在测量重叠方面存在一些空间变异性,但在任何一年中,只有不到 2%的县显示出相关性热点聚类超过 50%。在加利福尼亚、亚利桑那和缅因州的少数几个县,两个年份的重叠和分歧最大。在海湾地区(2010 年为 39%;2015 年为 28%),区域尺度的测量重叠程度大于东南大西洋地区(2010 年为 21%),这表明根据人口和地点特征,海湾海岸县的同质性更高。然而,在两个研究区域中,SoVI 和 BRIC 的测量都是负相关的。鉴于它们被纳入国家风险指数,社会脆弱性和恢复力指标都需要用于解释自然危害风险规划中的当地社区能力,因为一个脆弱的社区可能具有高度的恢复力,反之亦然。