Ke Te-Min, Lophatananon Artitaya, Muir Kenneth R
Division of Population Health, Health Services Research and Primary Care, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, The University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PT, UK.
Cancers (Basel). 2022 Oct 12;14(20):4991. doi: 10.3390/cancers14204991.
Evidence on pancreatic cancer (PaCa) risk factors from large population-based cohort studies is limited. This study investigated the PaCa risk factors and the population attributable fraction (PAF) of modifiable risk factors in the UK Biobank cohort. The UK Biobank is a prospective cohort consisting of 502,413 participants with a mean follow-up time of 8.2 years. A binomial generalized linear regression model was used to calculate relative risks for PaCa risk factors. PAF was calculated to estimate the proportional reduction in PaCa if modifiable risk factors were to be eliminated. A total of 728 (0.14%) PaCa incident cases and 412,922 (82.19%) non-PaCa controls were analyzed. The non-modifiable risk factors included age and gender. The modifiable risk factors were cigarette smoking, overweight and obesity, increased waist circumstance, abdominal obesity, Diabetic Mellitus (DM), and pancreatitis history. The PAF suggested that eliminating smoking and obesity can contribute around a 16% reduction in PaCa cases while avoiding abdominal obesity can eliminate PaCa cases by 22%. Preventing pancreatitis and DM could potentially reduce PaCa cases by 1% and 6%, respectively. This study has identified modifiable and non-modifiable PaCa risk factors in the UK population. The PAF of modifiable risk factors can be applied to inform PaCa prevention programs.
来自大型人群队列研究的胰腺癌(PaCa)风险因素的证据有限。本研究调查了英国生物银行队列中的PaCa风险因素以及可改变风险因素的人群归因分数(PAF)。英国生物银行是一个前瞻性队列,由502413名参与者组成,平均随访时间为8.2年。使用二项式广义线性回归模型计算PaCa风险因素的相对风险。计算PAF以估计如果消除可改变风险因素,PaCa的比例降低情况。共分析了728例(0.14%)PaCa发病病例和412922例(82.19%)非PaCa对照。不可改变的风险因素包括年龄和性别。可改变的风险因素有吸烟、超重和肥胖、腰围增加、腹部肥胖、糖尿病(DM)和胰腺炎病史。PAF表明,戒烟和避免肥胖可使PaCa病例减少约16%,而避免腹部肥胖可使PaCa病例减少22%。预防胰腺炎和DM可能分别使PaCa病例减少1%和6%。本研究确定了英国人群中可改变和不可改变的PaCa风险因素。可改变风险因素的PAF可用于为PaCa预防计划提供参考。