Schneider H, Mehls P, Lischinski M
Z Alternsforsch. 1987 Jul-Aug;42(4):219-26.
Of all 166 diabetics of all age groups of a rural district detected 23 years ago, the further course of the disease could be followed in 147 patients up to their death and to the present time, respectively. After 8 years 64.6% were still living, after 16 years 29.9% and after 23 years 13.6% of these patients. The body weight at the manifestation of the disease was prognostically only low of relevance. The prognostic importance of the higher-degree adiposity seems to lie prevailingly in the earlier manifestation of diabetes, less in shortening the remaining life span. The trend of the weight development of the patients presently still alive moved towards reaching or keeping normal weight, independent of the initial body weight, while the contrary tendency in long-term diabetics is exceptional. Test admissions covered by a glycosuria screening and deceased meanwhile lived on average 1 year longer than spontaneous admissions, the same age of manifestation supposed. Only 13.4% of all deceased patients had reached the higher expectation of life of a normal population of the GDR of the same age on manifestation, which underlines the presently still unsatisfactory long-term prognosis of the diabetic patients.
在23年前检测出的某农村地区所有年龄组的166名糖尿病患者中,分别对147名患者的疾病后续进程进行了追踪,直至他们死亡或到目前为止。8年后,这些患者中有64.6%仍在世,16年后为29.9%,23年后为13.6%。疾病表现时的体重在预后方面相关性较低。较高程度肥胖的预后重要性似乎主要在于糖尿病的较早表现,而较少在于缩短剩余寿命。目前仍在世的患者体重发展趋势是朝着达到或保持正常体重,与初始体重无关,而长期糖尿病患者的相反趋势则较为罕见。由糖尿筛查覆盖的试验入院患者且同时已死亡的,在假设相同发病年龄的情况下,平均比自发入院患者多活1年。所有死亡患者中只有13.4%在发病时达到了同年龄民主德国正常人群的较高预期寿命,这突出了目前糖尿病患者长期预后仍不令人满意的情况。