Department of Physiology, Program in Neuroscience, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland 21201
J Neurosci. 2022 Nov 9;42(45):8432-8438. doi: 10.1523/JNEUROSCI.1134-22.2022.
Experimental neuroscience typically uses "-valued" statistical testing procedures (null hypothesis significance testing; NHST) in evaluating its results. The rote, often misguided, application of NHST (Gigerenzer, 2008) has led to errors and "questionable research practices." Although the problems could be avoided with better statistics training (Lakens, 2021), there have been calls to abandon NHST altogether. One suggestion is to replace NHST with "estimation statistics" (Cumming and Calin-Jageman, 2017; Calin-Jageman and Cumming, 2019). Estimation statistics emphasizes the uncertainty inherent in scientific investigations and uses metrics, e.g., confidence intervals (CIs), that draw attention to uncertainty. Besides procedural steps and methods, the Estimation Approach prefers expressing "quantitative," rather than "qualitative" conclusions and making generalizations, rather than testing scientific hypotheses. The Estimation Approach embodies a philosophy of science-its ultimate goals, experimental mindset, and specific aims-that diverges unhelpfully from what laboratory-based neuroscience needs. The Estimation Approach meshes naturally with, e.g., clinical neuroscience, drug development, human psychology, and social sciences. It fits less well with much of the neuroscience published in the , for example. In contrast, the philosophy behind NHST fits naturally with traditional, evaluative testing of scientific hypotheses. Finally, some Estimation Approach remedies, e.g., replication, ideally with "preregistration," are incompatible with much experimental neuroscience. This Dual Perspective essay argues that, while neuroscience can benefit from practical aspects of estimation statistics, entirely replacing conventional methods with the Estimation Approach would be a mistake. NHST testing should be retained and improved. Experimental neuroscience relies on statistical procedures to assess the meaning and importance of its research findings. Optimal scientific communication demands a common set of assumptions for expressing and evaluating results. Problems arising from misuse of conventional significance testing methods have led to a proposal to replace significance testing with an Estimation Statistics Approach. Practical elements of the Estimation Approach can usefully be incorporated into conventional methods. However, the prevailing philosophy of the Estimation Approach does not address certain important needs of much experimental neuroscience. Neuroscience should adopt beneficial elements of the Estimation Approach without giving up the advantages of significance testing.
实验神经科学通常在评估其结果时使用“-值”统计检验程序(零假设显著性检验;NHST)。NHST 的机械、常常误导的应用(Gigerenzer,2008)导致了错误和“有问题的研究实践”。尽管通过更好的统计培训(Lakens,2021)可以避免这些问题,但有人呼吁完全放弃 NHST。一种建议是用“估计统计”(Cumming 和 Calin-Jageman,2017;Calin-Jageman 和 Cumming,2019)取代 NHST。估计统计强调科学研究中固有的不确定性,并使用指标,例如置信区间(CI),引起对不确定性的关注。除了程序步骤和方法外,估计方法还倾向于表达“定量”而不是“定性”的结论,并进行概括,而不是检验科学假设。估计方法体现了一种科学哲学——它的最终目标、实验心态和具体目标——与基于实验室的神经科学的需求无益地偏离。估计方法与临床神经科学、药物开发、人类心理学和社会科学等自然契合。它与在 上发表的许多神经科学研究不太吻合,例如。相比之下,NHST 背后的哲学自然适用于对科学假设的传统评估性测试。最后,一些估计方法的补救措施,例如复制,理想情况下是通过“预先注册”,与许多实验神经科学不兼容。这篇双视角论文认为,尽管神经科学可以从估计统计的实际方面受益,但完全用估计方法取代传统方法将是一个错误。应该保留和改进 NHST 测试。实验神经科学依赖于统计程序来评估其研究结果的意义和重要性。最佳的科学交流需要一套共同的假设来表达和评估结果。由于对传统显著性检验方法的误用而导致的问题,导致了用估计统计方法取代显著性检验方法的提议。估计方法的实际元素可以有用地纳入传统方法。然而,估计方法的主流哲学并没有解决许多实验神经科学的某些重要需求。神经科学应该在不放弃显著性检验优势的情况下,采用估计方法的有益元素。