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具有封锁措施的分数阶COVID-19流行模型分析

Analysis of a Fractional-Order COVID-19 Epidemic Model with Lockdown.

作者信息

Denu Dawit, Kermausuor Seth

机构信息

Department of Mathematical Sciences, Georgia Southern University, Savannah, GA 31419, USA.

Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Alabama State University, Montgomery, AL 36101, USA.

出版信息

Vaccines (Basel). 2022 Oct 22;10(11):1773. doi: 10.3390/vaccines10111773.

DOI:10.3390/vaccines10111773
PMID:36366284
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9693277/
Abstract

The outbreak of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has caused a lot of disruptions around the world. In an attempt to control the spread of the disease among the population, several measures such as lockdown, and mask mandates, amongst others, were implemented by many governments in their countries. To understand the effectiveness of these measures in controlling the disease, several mathematical models have been proposed in the literature. In this paper, we study a mathematical model of the coronavirus disease with lockdown by employing the Caputo fractional-order derivative. We establish the existence and uniqueness of the solution to the model. We also study the local and global stability of the disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium solutions. By using the residual power series method, we obtain a fractional power series approximation of the analytic solution. Finally, to show the accuracy of the theoretical results, we provide some numerical and graphical results.

摘要

冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的爆发在全球造成了诸多混乱。为控制疾病在人群中的传播,许多国家的政府实施了诸如封锁和强制戴口罩等多项措施。为了解这些措施在控制疾病方面的有效性,文献中提出了几种数学模型。在本文中,我们通过使用卡普托分数阶导数研究一个带有封锁措施的冠状病毒病数学模型。我们建立了该模型解的存在性和唯一性。我们还研究了无病平衡点和地方病平衡点解的局部和全局稳定性。通过使用残差幂级数方法,我们得到了解析解的分数幂级数近似。最后,为了展示理论结果的准确性,我们给出了一些数值和图形结果。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d924/9693277/ed55789389f5/vaccines-10-01773-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d924/9693277/015302ad3a7a/vaccines-10-01773-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d924/9693277/ed55789389f5/vaccines-10-01773-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d924/9693277/015302ad3a7a/vaccines-10-01773-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d924/9693277/ed55789389f5/vaccines-10-01773-g002.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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IEEE Open J Eng Med Biol. 2020 Aug 26;1:249-256. doi: 10.1109/OJEMB.2020.3019758. eCollection 2020.
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A new study on two different vaccinated fractional-order COVID-19 models via numerical algorithms.一项通过数值算法对两种不同的接种疫苗的分数阶 COVID-19 模型进行的新研究。
J King Saud Univ Sci. 2022 Feb 17:101914. doi: 10.1016/j.jksus.2022.101914.
3
A revisit to the past plague epidemic (India) versus the present COVID-19 pandemic: fractional-order chaotic models and fuzzy logic control.
运用最优控制理论分析高校学生对数学焦虑的分数阶模型。
Sci Rep. 2023 Apr 27;13(1):6867. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-33961-y.
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Mathematical Modeling and Analysis of the Dynamics of RNA Viruses in Presence of Immunity and Treatment: A Case Study of SARS-CoV-2.存在免疫和治疗情况下RNA病毒动力学的数学建模与分析:以SARS-CoV-2为例
Vaccines (Basel). 2023 Jan 17;11(2):201. doi: 10.3390/vaccines11020201.
对过去的鼠疫疫情(印度)与当前的新冠肺炎大流行的再审视:分数阶混沌模型与模糊逻辑控制
Eur Phys J Spec Top. 2022;231(5):905-919. doi: 10.1140/epjs/s11734-021-00335-2. Epub 2021 Dec 12.
4
Chaotic dynamics in a novel COVID-19 pandemic model described by commensurate and incommensurate fractional-order derivatives.由 commensurate 和 incommensurate 分数阶导数描述的新型 COVID-19 大流行模型中的混沌动力学。
Nonlinear Dyn. 2022;109(1):33-45. doi: 10.1007/s11071-021-06867-5. Epub 2021 Sep 3.
5
A vigorous study of fractional order COVID-19 model via ABC derivatives.基于ABC导数对分数阶COVID-19模型的深入研究。
Results Phys. 2021 Oct;29:104737. doi: 10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104737. Epub 2021 Aug 28.
6
Mathematical modeling of the transmission of SARS-CoV-2-Evaluating the impact of isolation in São Paulo State (Brazil) and lockdown in Spain associated with protective measures on the epidemic of CoViD-19.SARS-CoV-2 传播的数学建模-评估与保护措施相关的巴西圣保罗州隔离和西班牙封锁对 CoViD-19 疫情的影响。
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Adv Differ Equ. 2021;2021(1):106. doi: 10.1186/s13662-021-03265-4. Epub 2021 Feb 11.
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