Kim Seung Kyum, Park Soonae
Moon Soul Graduate School of Future Strategy, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Bldg. N5, 291 Daehak-ro, Yuseong-gu, Daejeon 34141, Republic of Korea.
Graduate School of Public Administration, Seoul National University, 302, Building 57-1, 1 Gwanak-ro, Gwanak-gu, Seoul 08826, Republic of Korea.
Sci Total Environ. 2023 Feb 10;859(Pt 1):160175. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.160175. Epub 2022 Nov 15.
The transition to renewable energy can disproportionately impact the effectiveness of climate change adaptation, due to regional heterogeneity. Many countries attempt to promote renewable energy to reduce the impact of climate change, but the impacts of national energy policy in the climate vulnerability framework remain little understood. Here, we exploit variations in renewable energy uses to test the effectiveness of climate adaptation policy across the dimensions of climate impact and vulnerability. Using the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process and panel data regression, we analyze the spatiotemporal correlation between renewable energy transition and climate vulnerability across the world. We find that while renewable energy increases proportionally with climate exposure and sensitivity, many countries exhibit discrepancies between the variation in renewable energy transition and climate vulnerability. The promotion of renewable energy funnels into nations with a higher level of adaptive capacity while bypassing more vulnerable countries. The results signify that existing renewable energy policies can exacerbate climate inequality and undermine the benefits of the transition to renewable energy by neglecting the spatial heterogeneity in climate vulnerability. Our findings provide empirical evidence for the ways in which renewable energy policy can generate spatial inequalities in climate adaptation.
由于区域异质性,向可再生能源的转型可能会对气候变化适应的有效性产生不成比例的影响。许多国家试图推广可再生能源以减少气候变化的影响,但国家能源政策在气候脆弱性框架中的影响仍鲜为人知。在此,我们利用可再生能源使用的差异来检验气候适应政策在气候影响和脆弱性维度上的有效性。通过模糊层次分析法和面板数据回归,我们分析了全球可再生能源转型与气候脆弱性之间的时空相关性。我们发现,虽然可再生能源与气候暴露和敏感性成比例增加,但许多国家在可再生能源转型的变化与气候脆弱性之间存在差异。可再生能源的推广集中在适应能力较高的国家,而绕过了更脆弱的国家。结果表明,现有的可再生能源政策可能会加剧气候不平等,并通过忽视气候脆弱性的空间异质性而破坏向可再生能源转型的好处。我们的研究结果为可再生能源政策在气候适应中产生空间不平等的方式提供了实证证据。