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2020 年归因于母亲癌症死亡的孤儿的全球和区域估计数。

Global and regional estimates of orphans attributed to maternal cancer mortality in 2020.

机构信息

International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.

Program in Public Health and Department of Family, Population and Preventive Medicine, Stony Brook University (State University of New York), Stony Brook, NY, USA.

出版信息

Nat Med. 2022 Dec;28(12):2563-2572. doi: 10.1038/s41591-022-02109-2. Epub 2022 Nov 20.

Abstract

Despite women being disproportionally affected by cancer deaths at young ages, there are no global estimates of the resulting maternal orphans, who experience health and education disadvantages throughout their lives. We estimated the number of children who became maternal orphans in 2020 due to their mother dying from cancer in that year, for 185 countries worldwide and by cause of cancer-related death. Female cancer deaths-by country, cancer type and age (derived from GLOBOCAN estimates)-were multiplied by each woman's estimated number of children under the age of 18 years at the time of her death (fertility data were derived from United Nations World Population Prospects for birth cohort), accounting for child mortality and parity-cancer risk associations. Globally, there were 1,047,000 such orphans. Over half of these were orphans due to maternal deaths from breast (258,000, 25%), cervix (210,000, 20%) and upper-gastrointestinal cancers (136,000, 13%), and most occurred in Asia (48%: India 15%, China 10%, rest of Asia 23%) and Africa (35%). Globally, there were 40 new maternal orphans due to cancer per 100,000 children, with a declining trend with a higher Human Development Index (range: 121 in Malawi to 15 in Malta). An estimated 7 million children were prevalent maternal orphans due to cancer in mid-2020. Accelerating the implementation of the World Health Organization's cervical and breast cancer initiatives has the potential to avert not only millions of preventable female cancer deaths but also the associated, often-overlooked, intergenerational consequences of these deaths.

摘要

尽管女性在年轻时因癌症死亡的比例不成比例,但全球范围内没有因此成为孤儿的母亲的估计数,这些孤儿在一生中都会面临健康和教育方面的劣势。我们估计了 2020 年全球 185 个国家因母亲当年死于癌症而成为孤儿的儿童人数,以及因癌症相关死亡原因而成为孤儿的人数。按国家、癌症类型和年龄(来自 GLOBOCAN 估计数)分列的女性癌症死亡人数乘以每位女性在去世时未满 18 岁的子女人数(生育率数据来自联合国世界人口展望,按出生队列计算),考虑到儿童死亡率和生育次数与癌症风险的关联。全球范围内,有 104.7 万名此类孤儿。其中超过一半是因母亲死于乳腺癌(258000 人,占 25%)、宫颈癌(210000 人,占 20%)和上消化道癌症(136000 人,占 13%)而成为孤儿,大部分孤儿在亚洲(48%:印度 15%,中国 10%,亚洲其他地区 23%)和非洲(35%)。全球范围内,每 10 万名儿童中有 40 名因癌症而成为新的孤儿,随着人类发展指数(范围从马拉维的 121 到马耳他的 15)的升高,这一趋势呈下降趋势。估计有 700 万名儿童因癌症而成为常见的孤儿。加快实施世界卫生组织的宫颈癌和乳腺癌倡议不仅有可能避免数以百万计可预防的女性癌症死亡,而且还有可能避免这些死亡带来的通常被忽视的代际后果。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3038/9800281/66652778424d/41591_2022_2109_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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