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一种用于新冠肺炎疫情防控期间复工风险评估的集成区间值直觉模糊技术

An integrated interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy technique for resumption risk assessment amid COVID-19 prevention.

作者信息

Chen Ze-Hui, Wan Shu-Ping, Dong Jiu-Ying

机构信息

School of Information and Management, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China.

School of Management, Jiujiang University, Jiujiang 332005, China.

出版信息

Inf Sci (N Y). 2023 Jan;619:695-721. doi: 10.1016/j.ins.2022.11.028. Epub 2022 Nov 15.

Abstract

Currently, China has achieved a remarkable achievement on the containment of COVID-19, which creates a favorable condition for the gradual resumption of normal life. However, COVID-19 infections continue to rise in many nations and some sporadic cases occur from time to time in China, which still poses some risks to the resumption. Hence, it is imperative to develop some reasonable techniques to assess the resumption risk. This paper aims to investigate an integrated interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy (IVIF) technique to adroitly assess the resumption risk based on DEMATEL (decision making trial and evaluation laboratory), BWM (best-worst method) and SPA (set pair analysis). This integrated technique is called IVIF-DBWM-SPA, where the IVIF-DBWM (combined by the IVIF-DEMATEL and IVIF-BWM) is used to determine the global criteria weights and the IVIF-SPA is employed to generate the ranking order of the alternatives. The IVIF-DEMATEL and IVIF-BWM are used to determine the weights of dimensions and the weights of criteria under each dimension, respectively. In this IVIF-BWM, two bi-objective programming models are constructed by regarding experts' pessimistic and optimistic attitudes, respectively. Combined experts' intrapersonal and interpersonal uncertainties simultaneously, a bi-objective programming model is proposed to derive the dynamic weights of experts. Based on the determined weights of experts and criteria, an IVIF-SPA is developed to assess the risk levels of all alternatives. The validity of the proposed technique is demonstrated with a real case of college resumption risk assessment amid COVID-19. Some sensitivity and comparison analyses are provided to show the merits of the proposed technique.

摘要

目前,中国在新冠疫情防控方面取得了显著成就,这为逐步恢复正常生活创造了有利条件。然而,许多国家的新冠病毒感染病例仍在持续上升,中国也不时出现一些散发病例,这对恢复工作仍构成一定风险。因此,开发一些合理的技术来评估恢复风险势在必行。本文旨在研究一种基于决策试验与评价实验室(DEMATEL)、最佳最差法(BWM)和集对分析(SPA)的集成区间直觉模糊(IVIF)技术,以巧妙地评估恢复风险。这种集成技术称为IVIF-DBWM-SPA,其中IVIF-DBWM(由IVIF-DEMATEL和IVIF-BWM组合而成)用于确定全局准则权重,IVIF-SPA用于生成备选方案的排序顺序。IVIF-DEMATEL和IVIF-BWM分别用于确定维度权重和各维度下准则的权重。在这种IVIF-BWM中,分别考虑专家的悲观和乐观态度构建了两个双目标规划模型。同时结合专家的个人内和人际不确定性,提出了一个双目标规划模型来推导专家的动态权重。基于确定的专家权重和准则权重,开发了一种IVIF-SPA来评估所有备选方案的风险水平。通过新冠疫情期间高校复学风险评估的实际案例验证了所提技术的有效性。还进行了一些敏感性和比较分析以展示所提技术的优点。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1223/9663409/114fc258ea8c/gr1_lrg.jpg

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