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利用区块链和人工智能技术进行疫苗供应链协调。

Vaccine supply chain coordination using blockchain and artificial intelligence technologies.

作者信息

Gao Ye, Gao Hongwei, Xiao Han, Yao Fanjun

机构信息

School of Business, Qingdao University, Qingdao, 266071, PR China.

School of Mathematics and Statistics, Qingdao University, Qingdao, 266071, PR China.

出版信息

Comput Ind Eng. 2023 Jan;175:108885. doi: 10.1016/j.cie.2022.108885. Epub 2022 Dec 5.

Abstract

Currently, the global spread of COVID-19 is taking a heavy toll on the lives of the global population. There is an urgent need to improve and strengthen the coordination of vaccine supply chains in response to this severe pandemic. In this study, we consider a vaccine supply chain based on a combination of artificial intelligence and blockchain technologies and model the supply chain as a two-player dynamic game with inventory level as the dynamic equation of the system. The study focuses on the applicability and effectiveness of the two technologies in the vaccine supply chain and provides management insights. The impact of the application of the technologies on environmental performance is also considered in the model. We also examine factors such as the number of people vaccinated, positive and side effects of vaccines, vaccine decay rate, revenue-sharing/cost-sharing ratio, and commission ratio. The results are as follows: the correlation between the difficulty in obtaining certified vaccines and the profit of a vaccine manufacturer is not monotonous; the vaccine manufacturer is more sensitive to changes in the vaccine attenuation rate. The study's major conclusions are as follows: First, the vaccine supply chain should estimate the level of consumers' difficulty in obtaining a certified vaccine source and the magnitude of the production planning and demand forecasting error terms before adopting the two technologies. Second, the application of artificial intelligence (AI) technology is meaningful in the vaccine supply chain when the error terms satisfy a particular interval condition.

摘要

目前,新冠病毒病(COVID-19)的全球传播给全球人口的生命造成了沉重损失。迫切需要改进和加强疫苗供应链的协调,以应对这一严峻的大流行。在本研究中,我们考虑基于人工智能和区块链技术相结合的疫苗供应链,并将该供应链建模为一个以库存水平为系统动态方程的两人动态博弈。该研究聚焦于这两种技术在疫苗供应链中的适用性和有效性,并提供管理见解。模型中还考虑了技术应用对环境绩效的影响。我们还研究了接种人数、疫苗的阳性和副作用、疫苗衰减率、收益分享/成本分摊比率以及佣金比率等因素。结果如下:获得认证疫苗的难度与疫苗制造商的利润之间的相关性并非单调;疫苗制造商对疫苗衰减率的变化更为敏感。该研究的主要结论如下:第一,疫苗供应链在采用这两种技术之前,应估计消费者获得认证疫苗来源的难度水平以及生产计划和需求预测误差项的大小。第二,当误差项满足特定区间条件时,人工智能(AI)技术在疫苗供应链中的应用具有意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a2c1/9722244/1601b973daf0/gr1_lrg.jpg

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