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评估中国空气污染控制政策的成本效益:系统评价。

Evaluating cost and benefit of air pollution control policies in China: A systematic review.

机构信息

Laboratory of Energy & Environmental Economics and Policy, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.

出版信息

J Environ Sci (China). 2023 Jan;123:140-155. doi: 10.1016/j.jes.2022.02.043. Epub 2022 Mar 7.

Abstract

China has put great efforts into air pollution control over the past years and recently committed to its most ambitious climate target. Cost and benefit analysis has been widely used to evaluate the control policies in terms of past performance, future reduction potential, and direct and indirect impacts. To understand the cost and benefit analysis for air pollution control in China, we conducted a bibliometric review of more than 100 studies published over the past two decades, including the current research progress, most commonly adopted methods, and core findings. The control target in cost and benefit analysis has shifted in three stages, from individual and primary pollution control, moving to joint prevention of multiple and secondary pollutants, and then towards synergistic control of air pollution and carbon. With the expansion of the research scope, the integrated assessment model has gradually demonstrated the necessity for long-term ex-anti policy simulation, especially for dealing with complex factors. To ensure long-term air quality, climate, public health, and sustainable economic development, substantial evidence from published studies has suggested that China needs to continue its efforts in the upstream adjustment of the energy system and industrial structure with multi-regional and -sector collaboration. This cost and benefit review paper provides decision-makers with the fundamental information and knowledge gaps in air pollution control strategies in China, and direction for facing future challenges.

摘要

中国在过去几年中投入大量精力进行空气污染控制,最近还制定了最具雄心的气候目标。成本效益分析已被广泛用于评估过去表现、未来减排潜力以及直接和间接影响方面的控制政策。为了了解中国空气污染控制的成本效益分析,我们对过去 20 多年发表的 100 多项研究进行了文献计量学回顾,包括当前的研究进展、最常用的方法和核心发现。成本效益分析中的控制目标在三个阶段发生了转变,从个体和初级污染控制,转向联合预防多种和二次污染物,再到协同控制空气污染和碳。随着研究范围的扩大,综合评估模型逐渐证明了长期反政策模拟的必要性,特别是在处理复杂因素时。为了确保长期的空气质量、气候、公共健康和可持续经济发展,已发表研究的大量证据表明,中国需要继续努力在能源系统和产业结构的上游进行调整,实现多区域和多部门合作。本成本效益综述文章为决策者提供了中国空气污染控制策略的基本信息和知识差距,并为应对未来挑战指明了方向。

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