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制定中国空气质量改善路线图:技术发展与未来展望综述。

Developing China's roadmap for air quality improvement: A review on technology development and future prospects.

机构信息

Institute of Atmospheric Environment, Chinese Academy of Environmental Planning, Beijing 100012, China.

Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, China.

出版信息

J Environ Sci (China). 2023 Jan;123:510-521. doi: 10.1016/j.jes.2022.10.028. Epub 2022 Nov 4.

DOI:10.1016/j.jes.2022.10.028
PMID:36522010
Abstract

Air pollution control policies in China have been experiencing profound changes, highlighting a strategic transformation from total pollutant emission control to air quality improvement, along with the shifting targets starting from acid rain and NO emissions to PM pollution, and then the emerging O challenges. The marvelous achievements have been made with the dramatic decrease of SO emission and fundamental improvement of PM concentration. Despite these achievements, China has proposed Beautiful China target through 2035 and the goal of 2030 carbon peak and 2060 carbon neutrality, which impose stricter requirements on air quality and synergistic mitigation with Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions. Against this background, an integrated multi-objective and multi-benefit roadmap is required to provide decision support for China's long-term air quality improvement strategy. This paper systematically reviews the technical system for developing the air quality improvement roadmap, which was integrated from the research output of China's National Key R&D Program for Research on Atmospheric Pollution Factors and Control Technologies (hereafter Special NKP), covering mid- and long-term air quality target setting techniques, quantitative analysis techniques for emission reduction targets corresponding to air quality targets, and pathway optimization techniques for realizing reduction targets. The experience and lessons derived from the reviews have implications for the reformation of China's air quality improvement roadmap in facing challenges of synergistic mitigation of PM and O, and the coupling with climate change mitigation.

摘要

中国的空气污染控制政策正在经历深刻的变革,突出表现为从污染物总量控制向空气质量改善的战略转变,目标从酸雨和氮氧化物排放转向 PM 污染,再到新兴的臭氧挑战。SO 排放的急剧减少和 PM 浓度的根本改善取得了显著的成就。尽管取得了这些成就,中国还是通过 2035 年的美丽中国目标和 2030 年的碳峰值和 2060 年的碳中和目标,对空气质量提出了更严格的要求,并与温室气体(GHG)排放协同减排。在此背景下,需要制定一个综合的多目标和多效益的路线图,为中国的长期空气质量改善战略提供决策支持。本文系统地回顾了制定空气质量改善路线图的技术体系,该体系是从中国大气污染成因与控制技术研究重点研发计划(以下简称特殊 NKP)的研究成果中整合而来的,涵盖了中长期空气质量目标设定技术、空气质量目标对应的减排目标的定量分析技术以及实现减排目标的路径优化技术。这些经验教训对于中国在协同减少 PM 和 O 以及与气候变化减缓相耦合的空气质量改善路线图的改革具有重要意义。

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