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夏令时转换相关急性风险实证评估中的样本量偏差。

Sample size bias in the empirical assessment of the acute risks associated with daylight saving time transitions.

作者信息

Martín-Olalla José María, Mira Jorge

机构信息

Facultad de Física, Departamento de Física de la Materia Condensada, Universidad de Sevilla, Sevilla, Spain.

Facultade de Física, Departamento de Física Aplicada and iMATUS, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.

出版信息

Chronobiol Int. 2023 Feb;40(2):186-191. doi: 10.1080/07420528.2022.2157738. Epub 2023 Jan 3.

Abstract

The assessment of the acute impact of daylight saving time (DST) transitions is a question of great interest for an understanding of the benefits and inconveniences of a practice that is now under public scrutiny in Europe and America. Here, we report a thorough analysis of a record of 13 well-known research studies that reported increased risks associated with DST transitions in health issues - acute myocardial infarction, ischemic strokes and trauma admissions - and in societal issues - accidents, traffic accidents and fatal motor vehicle accidents. We found that a five percent increase of the risks suffices to understand the reported increased risks associated with the spring transition. Reported values above this threshold are impacted by the sample size of the study. In the case of the autumn transition, no increase in the risks is found.

摘要

评估夏令时(DST)转换的急性影响是一个备受关注的问题,对于理解这一目前在欧美受到公众审视的做法所带来的利弊具有重要意义。在此,我们报告了对13项著名研究记录的全面分析,这些研究报告称,在健康问题(急性心肌梗死、缺血性中风和创伤入院)以及社会问题(事故、交通事故和致命机动车事故)方面,与夏令时转换相关的风险有所增加。我们发现,风险增加5%足以解释报告中与春季转换相关的风险增加情况。高于此阈值的报告值受研究样本量的影响。在秋季转换的情况下,未发现风险增加。

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