Boslett Andrew, Hill Elaine
Dept. of Public Health Sciences, University of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, NY 14620.
Rochester Data Science Consortium, Rochester, NY 14604.
J Environ Econ Manage. 2022 Sep;115. doi: 10.1016/j.jeem.2022.102696. Epub 2022 Jul 6.
Using national data on county-level mortality, coal mining, and shale development, we examine the effects of resource booms and busts on mortality in the United States. We find evidence that decreases in operating coal mines increased total all-cause mortality, non-drug mortality, and opioid overdose mortality, especially for counties with greater than 10 operating coal mines in 2000. Our model results for drug overdose mortality and opioid overdose mortality are sensitive to the panel's start year. For shale development, the shale boom is associated with increases in non-drug suicides but otherwise had little impact on mortality. Our findings suggest a potential role for job-training programs and the cultivation of local healthcare resources in regions suffering coal busts and suicide prevention in areas with shale development.
利用县级死亡率、煤矿开采和页岩开发的全国数据,我们研究了资源繁荣与衰退对美国死亡率的影响。我们发现,运营煤矿数量的减少会增加全因死亡率、非药物死亡率和阿片类药物过量死亡率,特别是对于2000年有超过10座运营煤矿的县。我们关于药物过量死亡率和阿片类药物过量死亡率的模型结果对面板的起始年份很敏感。对于页岩开发,页岩繁荣与非药物自杀率的上升有关,但对死亡率的其他方面影响不大。我们的研究结果表明,在遭受煤炭衰退的地区,就业培训计划和当地医疗资源的培养可能发挥作用;在页岩开发地区,预防自杀也很重要。