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投资情境中的道德运气:我们会自觉地认为无利可图的投资缺乏道德性。

Moral luck in investment contexts: We consciously find unprofitable investments less moral.

机构信息

TUM School of Social Science and Technology, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.

Faculty of Computer Science, Technische Hochschule Ingolstadt, Ingolstadt, Germany.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2023 Jan 17;18(1):e0278677. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0278677. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

Moral luck refers to whether an actor is morally praised or blamed for an action whose outcome they could not influence. In two studies, we investigated the behavioral importance of this phenomenon in the realm of investments, which has become increasingly subject to ethical evaluations. In our first online experiment, we examined whether people's moral evaluation of an investment decision depended on its arbitrary outcome and whether their interpretation of the nature of the decision was driven by this outcome. Our results showed that profitable investments were considered more moral than unprofitable investments. Moreover, profitable investments were labeled "investments" instead of "speculation" or "gambling" more often than unprofitable ones. In our second study, we asked the subjects to assess investments independent of the outcome. After the outcome was announced, the subjects were given the opportunity to reflect and change their initial decision. The results show that people change the moral evaluation and label of investments when told that it had a bad outcome. This observation was stable across different investment contexts. These findings suggest that we must be careful with the increasing moralization of investment decisions and be sensitive to our cognitive biases.

摘要

道德运气是指行为者对于其无法影响结果的行为是否应该受到道德赞扬或谴责。在两项研究中,我们调查了这种现象在投资领域的行为重要性,因为投资越来越受到道德评价。在我们的第一项在线实验中,我们研究了人们对投资决策的道德评价是否取决于其任意结果,以及他们对决策性质的解释是否受到该结果的影响。结果表明,盈利的投资比亏损的投资被认为更有道德。此外,盈利的投资比亏损的投资更常被标记为“投资”而不是“投机”或“赌博”。在第二项研究中,我们要求被试独立于结果评估投资。在公布结果后,被试有机会反思并改变他们最初的决定。结果表明,当被告知投资结果不好时,人们会改变对投资的道德评价和标签。这一观察结果在不同的投资环境中是稳定的。这些发现表明,我们必须谨慎对待投资决策的日益道德化,并对我们的认知偏差保持敏感。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5c0a/9844880/21500b03e8fa/pone.0278677.g001.jpg

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