Carrillo-Tudela Carlos, Clymo Alex, Comunello Camila, Jäckle Annette, Visschers Ludo, Zentler-Munro David
Department of Economics, University of Essex, Wivenhoe Park, Colchester CO4 3SQ, UK.
CEPR, United Kingdom.
Labour Econ. 2023 Apr;81:102328. doi: 10.1016/j.labeco.2023.102328. Epub 2023 Jan 13.
The impact of the pandemic on the UK labour market has been extremely heterogeneous across occupations and industries. Using novel data on job search, we document how individuals adjust their job search in response to changing employment patterns across occupations and industries in the UK. We observe that workers changed their search direction in favour of expanding occupations and industries as the pandemic developed. However, non-employed workers are more attached to their previous occupations and workers with low education are more likely to target declining occupations. We also observe workers from declining occupations making fewer transitions to expanding occupations than those who start in expanding occupations, despite targeting these jobs relatively frequently. This suggests those at the margins of the labour market may be least able to escape occupations that declined during the pandemic.
疫情对英国劳动力市场的影响在不同职业和行业中极为不均。利用有关求职的新数据,我们记录了个人如何根据英国不同职业和行业就业模式的变化来调整求职方式。我们观察到,随着疫情发展,工人们改变了求职方向,转而倾向于不断扩张的职业和行业。然而,未就业工人更执着于他们之前的职业,而受教育程度低的工人更有可能将目标对准正在衰落的职业。我们还观察到,与那些一开始就从事扩张型职业的人相比,来自衰落职业的工人向扩张型职业转型的次数更少,尽管他们相对频繁地将这些工作作为目标。这表明,处于劳动力市场边缘的那些人可能最无法摆脱在疫情期间衰落的职业。