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气候变化与斐济苏瓦的海岸适应能力:一种使用气候与海洋风险脆弱性指数(CORVI)衡量气候风险的整体方法。

Climate change and coastal resiliency of Suva, Fiji: a holistic approach for measuring climate risk using the climate and ocean risk vulnerability index (CORVI).

作者信息

Shiiba Nagisa, Singh Priyatma, Charan Dhrishna, Raj Kushaal, Stuart Jack, Pratap Arpana, Maekawa Miko

机构信息

Institute for Global Environmental Strategies, 2108-11 Kamiyamaguchi, Hayama, 240-0115 Japan.

The University of Fiji, Lautoka, Republic of Fiji.

出版信息

Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Chang. 2023;28(2):9. doi: 10.1007/s11027-022-10043-4. Epub 2023 Jan 10.

Abstract

UNLABELLED

Coastal cities are under severe threat from the impacts of climate change, such as sea-level rise, extreme weather events, coastal inundation, and ecosystem degradation. It is well known that the ocean, and in particular coastal environments, have been changing at an unprecedented rate, which poses increasing risks to people in small island developing states, such as Fiji. The Greater Suva Urban Area, the capital and largest metropolitan area of Fiji, is expected to be largely impacted by climate-related risks to its socio-economic, cultural, and political positions. In the face of these threats, creating a resilient city that can withstand and adapt to the impacts of climate change and promote sustainable development should be guided by a holistic approach, encompassing stakeholders from the government, the private sector, civil society organizations, and international institutions. This study assesses the risk profile of Suva city using an innovative risk information tool, the climate and ocean risk vulnerability index (CORVI), which applies structured expert judgment to quantify climate-related risks in data-sparse environments. Through comparative quantification of diverse risk factors and narrative analysis, this study identifies three priority areas for Suva's future climate-resilient actions: development of climate risk-informed urban planning, harmonized urban development and natural restoration, and enhancing the climate resilience to the tourism sector.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11027-022-10043-4.

摘要

未标注

沿海城市正面临气候变化影响带来的严重威胁,如海平面上升、极端天气事件、沿海洪水和生态系统退化。众所周知,海洋,尤其是沿海环境,一直在以前所未有的速度变化,这给斐济等小岛屿发展中国家的人们带来了越来越大的风险。斐济的首都和最大都市区大苏瓦市区预计将因其社会经济、文化和政治地位而受到与气候相关风险的重大影响。面对这些威胁,创建一个能够抵御和适应气候变化影响并促进可持续发展的韧性城市应以整体方法为指导,涵盖来自政府、私营部门、民间社会组织和国际机构的利益相关者。本研究使用一种创新的风险信息工具——气候与海洋风险脆弱性指数(CORVI)来评估苏瓦市的风险状况,该指数应用结构化专家判断来量化数据稀缺环境中与气候相关的风险。通过对各种风险因素的比较量化和叙事分析,本研究确定了苏瓦未来气候韧性行动的三个优先领域:制定基于气候风险的城市规划、协调城市发展与自然恢复以及增强旅游业的气候韧性。

补充信息

在线版本包含可在10.1007/s11027-022-10043-4获取的补充材料。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/eee7/9838293/87821ab2ac4e/11027_2022_10043_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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