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社会研究中关联度量的平等性和顺序约束的贝叶斯因子检验。

Bayes factor testing of equality and order constraints on measures of association in social research.

作者信息

Mulder Joris, Gelissen John P T M

机构信息

Tilburg University, Tilburg, Netherlands.

Jheronimus Academy of Data Science's, Hertogenbosch, Netherlands.

出版信息

J Appl Stat. 2021 Oct 27;50(2):315-351. doi: 10.1080/02664763.2021.1992360. eCollection 2023.

DOI:10.1080/02664763.2021.1992360
PMID:36698541
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9870006/
Abstract

Measures of association play a central role in the social sciences to quantify the strength of a linear relationship between the variables of interest. In many applications researchers can translate scientific expectations to hypotheses with equality and/or order constraints on these measures of association. In this paper a Bayes factor test is proposed for testing multiple hypotheses with constraints on the measures of association between ordinal and/or continuous variables, possibly after correcting for certain covariates. This test can be used to obtain a direct answer to the research question how much evidence there is in the data for a social science theory relative to competing theories. The stand-alone software package 'BCT' allows users to apply the methodology in an easy manner. The methodology will also be available in the R package 'BFpack'. An empirical application from leisure studies about the associations between life, leisure and relationship satisfaction and an application about the differences about egalitarian justice beliefs across countries are used to illustrate the methodology.

摘要

关联度量在社会科学中起着核心作用,用于量化感兴趣变量之间线性关系的强度。在许多应用中,研究人员可以将科学预期转化为对这些关联度量具有等式和/或顺序约束的假设。本文提出了一种贝叶斯因子检验,用于检验关于有序和/或连续变量之间关联度量的多个假设,可能在对某些协变量进行校正之后。该检验可用于直接回答研究问题:相对于竞争理论,数据中支持社会科学理论的证据有多少。独立软件包“BCT”允许用户轻松应用该方法。该方法也将在R包“BFpack”中提供。来自休闲研究的一个关于生活、休闲和关系满意度之间关联的实证应用,以及一个关于不同国家平等主义正义信念差异的应用,用于说明该方法。

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本文引用的文献

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BIC extensions for order-constrained model selection.用于顺序约束模型选择的BIC扩展。
Sociol Methods Res. 2022 May;51(2):471-498. doi: 10.1177/0049124119882459. Epub 2019 Dec 1.
2
Evaluating multinomial order restrictions with bridge sampling.使用桥接抽样评估多项有序限制。
Psychol Methods. 2023 Apr;28(2):322-338. doi: 10.1037/met0000411. Epub 2021 Dec 16.
3
Simple Bayesian testing of scientific expectations in linear regression models.线性回归模型中科学预期的简单贝叶斯检验。
Behav Res Methods. 2019 Jun;51(3):1117-1130. doi: 10.3758/s13428-018-01196-9.
4
A tutorial on testing hypotheses using the Bayes factor.贝叶斯因子假设检验教程。
Psychol Methods. 2019 Oct;24(5):539-556. doi: 10.1037/met0000201. Epub 2019 Feb 11.
5
Automatic Bayes Factors for Testing Equality- and Inequality-Constrained Hypotheses on Variances.自动贝叶斯因子用于检验方差的等式和不等式约束假设。
Psychometrika. 2018 Sep;83(3):586-617. doi: 10.1007/s11336-018-9615-z. Epub 2018 May 3.
6
Analytic posteriors for Pearson's correlation coefficient.皮尔逊相关系数的分析后验概率。
Stat Neerl. 2018 Feb;72(1):4-13. doi: 10.1111/stan.12111. Epub 2017 Jul 5.
7
Approximated adjusted fractional Bayes factors: A general method for testing informative hypotheses.近似调整分数贝叶斯因子:一种检验信息性假设的通用方法。
Br J Math Stat Psychol. 2018 May;71(2):229-261. doi: 10.1111/bmsp.12110. Epub 2017 Aug 31.
8
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Psychol Methods. 2017 Jun;22(2):262-287. doi: 10.1037/met0000116.
9
Default Bayes Factors for Model Selection in Regression.回归模型选择中的默认贝叶斯因子
Multivariate Behav Res. 2012 Nov;47(6):877-903. doi: 10.1080/00273171.2012.734737.
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Bayesian evaluation of inequality constrained hypotheses.贝叶斯方法评估不等式约束假设。
Psychol Methods. 2014 Dec;19(4):511-27. doi: 10.1037/met0000017. Epub 2014 Jul 21.