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越南经济全球化、不可再生能源和可再生能源消费之间的分解和部分连通性。

Decomposed and partial connectedness between economic globalization, non-renewable and renewable energy consumption in Vietnam.

机构信息

National Economics University, 207 Giai Phong, Hanoi, Vietnam.

Toulouse School of Economics, INRAE, Universit ́e de Toulouse Capitole, Toulouse, France.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Nov;30(55):117061-117081. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-25158-7. Epub 2023 Jan 26.

Abstract

In this study, we use a time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) in conjunction with the extended joint connectedness approach to examine the influences of the economic globalization measured by foreign direct investment (FDI) as well as trade openness (TO), on renewable and non-renewable energy consumption, by characterizing the connectedness of these variables, from 1987 to 2020 in Vietnam. Our results demonstrate that abolishing the state monopoly in foreign trade influences the system-wide dynamic connectedness of trade openness, which peaked in 1989. Net total directional connectedness of FDI and energy consumption suggests that both the consumption of renewable and non-renewable energy consistently act as net contagion shock receivers, and FDI is a critical net transmitter the whole time. Trade openness behaves consistently as a critical net shock transmitter in 1989 but turned into an essential net receiver from 1990 to 2020. In a system with trade openness, the consumption of non-renewable energy consistently acts as a net contagion shock receiver, and renewable energy consumption is a critical net transmitter in the whole sample. Pairwise connectedness reveals that FDI consistently appears as a shock transmitter to renewable and non-renewable energy consumption. Trade openness could be either a transmitter or a receiver of shock from non-renewable energy, depending on the period, and is a net receiver of shocks from renewable energy consumption during our sample. The findings of this paper are critical for Vietnam's government to make a greater contribution to the expansion of global commerce and a sustainable environment.

摘要

在本研究中,我们使用时变参数向量自回归(TVP-VAR)结合扩展联合连接方法,通过刻画这些变量的连接性,从 1987 年到 2020 年考察了以外国直接投资(FDI)和贸易开放度(TO)衡量的经济全球化对可再生和不可再生能源消费的影响。我们的结果表明,取消对外贸易的国家垄断会影响贸易开放度的系统范围动态连接性,这种连接性在 1989 年达到峰值。FDI 和能源消费的净总方向连接性表明,可再生和不可再生能源的消费一直都是净传染冲击的接受者,而 FDI 一直是关键的净传递者。贸易开放度在 1989 年一直是关键的净冲击传递者,但从 1990 年到 2020 年转变为重要的净冲击接受者。在贸易开放度的系统中,不可再生能源的消费一直是净传染冲击的接受者,而可再生能源的消费在整个样本中是关键的净传递者。成对连接性表明,FDI 一直是可再生和不可再生能源消费的冲击传递者。贸易开放度可以是不可再生能源冲击的传递者或接受者,这取决于时期,在我们的样本期间,它是可再生能源消费冲击的净接受者。本文的研究结果对越南政府为扩大全球贸易和可持续环境做出更大贡献具有重要意义。

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