D'Uggento Angela Maria, Piscitelli Alfonso, Ribecco Nunziata, Scepi Germana
Department of Economics and Finance, University of Bari Aldo Moro, Largo Abbazia Santa Scolastica, 53, 70124 Bari, Italy.
Department of Agricultural Sciences, University of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy.
Stat Methods Appt. 2023 Jan 30:1-29. doi: 10.1007/s10260-023-00681-6.
In recent years, the increasing number of natural disasters has raised concerns about the sustainability of our planet's future. As young people comprise the generation that will suffer from the negative effects of climate change, they have become involved in a new climate activism that is also gaining interest in the public debate thanks to the Fridays for Future (FFF) movement. This paper analyses the results of a survey of 1,138 young people in a southern Italian region to explore their perceptions of the extent of environmental problems and their participation in protests of green movements such as the FFF. The statistical analyses perform an ordinal classification tree using an original impurity measure considering both the ordinal nature of the response variable and the heterogeneity of its ordered categories. The results show that respondents are concerned about the threat of climate change and participate in the FFF to claim their right to a healthier planet and encourage people to adopt environmentally friendly practices in their lifestyles. Young people feel they are global citizens, connected through the Internet and social media, and show greater sensitivity to the planet's environmental problems, so they are willing to take effective action to demand sustainable policies from decision-makers. When planning public policies that will affect future generations, it is important for policymakers to know the demands and opinions of key stakeholders, especially young people, in order to plan the most appropriate measures, such as climate change mitigation.
近年来，自然灾害数量的不断增加引发了人们对地球未来可持续性的担忧。由于年轻人是将遭受气候变化负面影响的一代，他们参与了一场新的气候行动主义，并且由于“未来星期五”（FFF）运动，这一行动主义在公众辩论中也越来越受到关注。本文分析了对意大利南部一个地区1138名年轻人的调查结果，以探讨他们对环境问题严重程度的看法以及他们参与诸如FFF等绿色运动抗议活动的情况。统计分析使用一种原始的杂质度量执行有序分类树，该度量既考虑了响应变量的有序性质，也考虑了其有序类别的异质性。结果表明，受访者担心气候变化的威胁，并参与FFF以主张他们拥有一个更健康星球的权利，并鼓励人们在生活方式中采用环保做法。年轻人觉得自己是全球公民，通过互联网和社交媒体相互联系，并且对地球的环境问题表现出更高的敏感度，所以他们愿意采取有效行动，要求决策者制定可持续政策。在制定将影响子孙后代的公共政策时，政策制定者了解关键利益相关者，尤其是年轻人的需求和意见非常重要，以便规划出最恰当的措施，比如减缓气候变化。
