de Moor Joost
Sciences Po, Center for European Studies and Comparative Politics (CEE), Paris, France.
Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Chang. 2022;27(6):41. doi: 10.1007/s11027-022-10003-y. Epub 2022 Jul 25.
Climate adaptation is seen by many as increasingly important and as deeply political, leading some to argue for its democratization. Social movements could play an important role in this. Meanwhile, we have recently witnessed a major swell in climate activism, as well as a growing realization among climate activists that it may be too late to prevent major climate disruptions. Yet to what extent this may lead to a focus on adaptation in the climate movement remains understudied. To address this gap in the literature, the current paper draws on survey data from 2,344 participants in Fridays For Future climate demonstrations in September 2019 in 13 cities in Europe, Australia and the USA. The analyses show that while one-half of the respondents still attributes greater weight to mitigation, the other half attributes equal weight to adaptation and mitigation, indicating a greater emphasis on adaptation than previously assumed. It is found that those supporting (equal focus on) adaptation experience less hope about the effectiveness of climate policies, and portray a reluctance to support far-reaching climate action. The latter indicates that support for adaptation in the climate movement is associated with conservative attitudes, indicating constraints for the emergence of a climate movement for transformational adaptation.
许多人认为气候适应日益重要且极具政治性，这促使一些人主张实现其民主化。社会运动在这方面可以发挥重要作用。与此同时，我们最近目睹了气候行动主义的大幅兴起，气候活动人士也越来越意识到，预防重大气候破坏可能为时已晚。然而，这在多大程度上会导致气候运动将重点放在适应上，仍有待深入研究。为了填补这一文献空白，本文利用了2019年9月在欧洲、澳大利亚和美国13个城市举行的“未来星期五”气候示威活动中2344名参与者的调查数据。分析表明，虽然一半的受访者仍然更重视减缓气候变化，但另一半受访者对适应和减缓给予同等重视，这表明对适应的重视程度比之前设想的更高。研究发现，那些支持（同等重视）适应的人对气候政策的有效性不太抱有希望，并且表现出不愿支持影响深远的气候行动。后者表明，气候运动中对适应的支持与保守态度有关，这意味着变革性适应的气候运动的出现受到限制。
