School of Sports Science, Fujian Normal University, Fuzhou 350117, China.
School of Economics, Fujian Normal University, Fuzhou 350117, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2023 Jan 23;20(3):2085. doi: 10.3390/ijerph20032085.
It is of great practical significance to rationally formulate a development strategy for the sports industry to deeply understand and comprehensively grasp the impact of population aging on the development of the sports industry. To study the impact of population aging on the development of the sports industry, panel data at the provincial level in China from 2014 to 2020 are selected, and a mediation effect model is established to test how the aging of the population affects the development of the sports industry through technological innovation. The results show that technological innovation can explain 59.87% of the impact of population aging on the development of the sports industry without considering the control variables, and the impact of population aging on labor productivity through technological innovation is positive. Under the condition of considering the control variables, technological innovation can explain 56.74% of the impact of population aging on the development of the sports industry, and the impact of population aging on the development of the sports industry through technological innovation is positive. The proportion of the population aged 65 and above in the total population was used as a proxy variable for population aging to test the robustness test, and the impact of technological innovation on the development of the sports industry was positive without considering the control variables. In the robustness test considering the control variables, the impact of technological innovation on the development of the sports industry is positive.
深入理解和全面把握人口老龄化对体育产业发展的影响，对于合理制定体育产业发展战略具有重要的现实意义。为研究人口老龄化对体育产业发展的影响，选取了 2014 年至 2020 年中国省级层面的面板数据，建立了中介效应模型，以检验人口老龄化通过技术创新对体育产业发展的影响。结果表明，不考虑控制变量时，技术创新可以解释人口老龄化对体育产业发展影响的 59.87%，人口老龄化通过技术创新对劳动生产率的影响为正。在考虑控制变量的情况下，技术创新可以解释人口老龄化对体育产业发展影响的 56.74%，人口老龄化通过技术创新对体育产业发展的影响为正。用总人口中 65 岁及以上人口占总人口的比例作为人口老龄化的代理变量进行稳健性检验，不考虑控制变量时，技术创新对体育产业发展的影响为正。在考虑控制变量的稳健性检验中，技术创新对体育产业发展的影响为正。
