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能源利用、经济增长对黄河流域生态环境的影响。

Effect of Energy Utilization and Economic Growth on the Ecological Environment in the Yellow River Basin.

机构信息

School of Architecture and Urban Planning, Lanzhou Jiaotong University, Lanzhou 730070, China.

College of Geography and Environmental Science, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou 730070, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2023 Jan 28;20(3):2345. doi: 10.3390/ijerph20032345.

Abstract

In the 21st century, problems relating to energy, economy, and the environment have become increasingly severe across the world, and critical issues around environmental pollution, ecological imbalance, and an energy crisis have emerged. The Yellow River basin is an important ecological barrier, economic region, and energy base in Northern China. Environmental pollution in the Yellow River basin has become increasingly problematic, especially since the reform and opening up of China, along with the rapid development of the industrial economy and mining for energy resources. In this study, 64 of the 73 prefecture-level cities in the Yellow River basin were selected as the research object, including 18 cities in the downstream region, 26 cities in the midstream region, and 20 cities in the upstream region. The data used in this study were from 2004 to 2019. On the basis of temporal variation and spatial differentiation of the three factors of economy, energy, and environment, the impulse response function and the generalized method of moments (GMM) were adopted to evaluate the effects of energy utilization and economic growth on the ecological environment. Their roles in affecting the ecological environment were analyzed along with the underlying mechanisms. Overall, energy utilization, economic growth, and ecological environment are in good condition, showing a steady upward trend. Regional differences still exist, but the gap is gradually narrowing. There are some differences in the impulse response of the ecological environment to the economic growth and energy utilization in the upstream, midstream, and downstream regions of the Yellow River basin. The effect is leveled out or weakened in the middle and later phases of the impact. Compared with the downstream and upstream regions, economic growth and energy utilization in the midstream regions have less impact on the ecological environment. The two factors of energy utilization potential and economic potential have significant positive impacts on the ecological environment. The current situation of energy utilization has to some extent a positive impact on the ecological environment. Economic scale has a certain negative impact on the ecological environment.

摘要

在 21 世纪,世界范围内能源、经济和环境问题日益严峻,环境污染、生态失衡和能源危机等重大问题凸显。黄河流域是中国北方重要的生态屏障、经济区域和能源基地。黄河流域环境污染问题日益突出,特别是改革开放以来,随着工业经济的快速发展和能源资源的开采,黄河流域的环境污染问题日益突出。本研究选取黄河流域 73 个地级及以上城市为研究对象,其中下游 18 个城市、中游 26 个城市、上游 20 个城市,数据为 2004-2019 年的面板数据。基于经济、能源和环境三个因素的时间变化和空间差异,采用脉冲响应函数和广义矩估计法(GMM),评价能源利用和经济增长对生态环境的影响。分析其对生态环境的影响作用及内在机制。总体来看,能源利用、经济增长和生态环境状况良好,呈稳步上升趋势。区域差异依然存在,但差距逐渐缩小。黄河流域上下游经济增长和能源利用对生态环境的脉冲响应存在差异,在冲击中后期趋于平稳或减弱。与下游和上游地区相比,中游地区的经济增长和能源利用对生态环境的影响较小。能源利用潜力和经济发展潜力两个因素对生态环境有显著的正向影响。能源利用现状在一定程度上对生态环境有正向影响,经济规模对生态环境有一定的负向影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6816/9916393/dd75f3e1b9d1/ijerph-20-02345-g001.jpg

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