Clinical and Surgical Department, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, 'Dunarea de Jos' University, 800216 Galati, Romania.
Department of Mother and Child, 'Grigore T. Popa' University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 700115 Iasi, Romania.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2023 Jan 29;20(3):2380. doi: 10.3390/ijerph20032380.
(1) Background: The identification of patients at risk for hepatitis B and C viral infection is a challenge for the clinicians and public health specialists. The aim of this study was to evaluate and compare the predictive performances of four machine learning-based models for the prediction of HBV and HCV status. (2) Methods: This prospective cohort screening study evaluated adults from the North-Eastern and South-Eastern regions of Romania between January 2022 and November 2022 who underwent viral hepatitis screening in their family physician's offices. The patients' clinical characteristics were extracted from a structured survey and were included in four machine learning-based models: support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), naïve Bayes (NB), and K nearest neighbors (KNN), and their predictive performance was assessed. (3) Results: All evaluated models performed better when used to predict HCV status. The highest predictive performance was achieved by KNN algorithm (accuracy: 98.1%), followed by SVM and RF with equal accuracies (97.6%) and NB (95.7%). The predictive performance of these models was modest for HBV status, with accuracies ranging from 78.2% to 97.6%. (4) Conclusions: The machine learning-based models could be useful tools for HCV infection prediction and for the risk stratification process of adult patients who undergo a viral hepatitis screening program.
(1) 背景:识别乙型肝炎和丙型肝炎病毒感染的高危患者是临床医生和公共卫生专家面临的一项挑战。本研究旨在评估和比较四种基于机器学习的模型在预测乙型肝炎和丙型肝炎状态方面的预测性能。
(2) 方法:这项前瞻性队列筛查研究评估了 2022 年 1 月至 11 月期间在罗马尼亚东北部和东南部地区家庭医生办公室接受病毒性肝炎筛查的成年人。从结构化调查中提取了患者的临床特征,并将其纳入四个基于机器学习的模型:支持向量机(SVM)、随机森林(RF)、朴素贝叶斯(NB)和 K 最近邻(KNN),并评估了它们的预测性能。
(3) 结果:所有评估的模型在预测丙型肝炎状态时表现更好。KNN 算法的预测性能最高(准确率:98.1%),其次是 SVM 和 RF,准确率相同(97.6%),NB 准确率最低(95.7%)。这些模型在预测乙型肝炎状态时的预测性能较为一般,准确率范围为 78.2%至 97.6%。
(4) 结论:基于机器学习的模型可以成为丙型肝炎感染预测和接受病毒性肝炎筛查计划的成年患者风险分层过程的有用工具。