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低碳城市试点政策是否提高了城市土地绿色利用效率?——基于多期双重差分模型的实证研究。

Does the Low-Carbon City Pilot Policy Improve the Urban Land Green Use Efficiency?-Investigation Based on Multi-Period Difference-in-Differences Model.

机构信息

College of Public Administration, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2023 Feb 2;20(3):2704. doi: 10.3390/ijerph20032704.

Abstract

Improving urban land green use efficiency (ULGUE) is an effective way to increase social, economic, and ecological benefits and achieve regional sustainable development goals. This study takes three batches of low-carbon pilot cities construction as a quasi-natural experiment and investigates the impact of low-carbon pilot construction on ULGUE through the multi-period difference-in-differences method and spatial Dubin difference model (SDM-DID). The results show that (1) from 2006 to 2019, ULGUE in China increased. From the aspect of space, ULGUE in China gradually decreased from west to east, showing an obviously high agglomeration phenomenon in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and the Pearl River Delta; (2) after the robustness test, parallel trend test, and endogenous test, it is found that the conclusion that the low-carbon pilot construction can effectively improve ULGUE is still relevant and can indirectly improve ULGUE in the local region through fund allocation, talent gathering, and industrialization; and (3) the national ULGUE has significant positive spatial correlation. The results of the SDM-DID model confirm that the low-carbon pilot policy can produce the significant spatial spillover and drive the common advance of ULGUE in neighboring regions. Therefore, the resources and environmental conditions in each city are supposed to be taken into full consideration theoretically. Furthermore, it is necessary to effectively promote the development of ULGUE by strengthening the linkage of green production factors between different cities, so as to make meaningful contributions to promoting China's overall green development.

摘要

提高城市土地绿色利用效率(ULGUE)是增加社会、经济和生态效益,实现区域可持续发展目标的有效途径。本研究以三批低碳试点城市建设为准自然实验,通过多期差分法和空间杜宾差分模型(SDM-DID)考察了低碳试点建设对 ULGUE 的影响。结果表明:(1)2006-2019 年中国 ULGUE 不断提高。从空间角度看,中国 ULGUE 逐渐从西向东递减,呈现出京津冀和珠三角明显的高集聚现象;(2)经过稳健性检验、平行趋势检验和内生性检验,发现低碳试点建设能有效提高 ULGUE 的结论仍然成立,并能通过资金配置、人才集聚和产业化,间接地提高当地的 ULGUE;(3)全国 ULGUE 具有显著的正空间相关性。SDM-DID 模型的结果证实,低碳试点政策可以产生显著的空间溢出效应,推动周边地区 ULGUE 的共同提升。因此,在理论上应充分考虑各城市的资源和环境条件。此外,有必要通过加强不同城市之间绿色生产要素的联系,有效推动 ULGUE 的发展,为促进中国整体绿色发展做出有意义的贡献。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8ddc/9915865/f35514aff6b2/ijerph-20-02704-g001.jpg

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