Du Zhanwei, Zhang Xiao, Wang Lin, Yao Sidan, Bai Yuan, Tan Qi, Xu Xiaoke, Pei Sen, Xiao Jingyi, Tsang Tim K, Liao Qiuyan, Lau Eric H Y, Wu Peng, Gao Chao, Cowling Benjamin J
WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.
Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health, Hong Kong Science and Technology Park, New Territories, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.
China CDC Wkly. 2023 Jan 27;5(4):71-75. doi: 10.46234/ccdcw2023.014.
WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ABOUT THIS TOPIC?: People are likely to engage in collective behaviors online during extreme events, such as the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) crisis, to express awareness, take action, and work through concerns.
WHAT IS ADDED BY THIS REPORT?: This study offers a framework for evaluating interactions among individuals' emotions, perceptions, and online behaviors in Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR) during the first two waves of COVID-19 (February to June 2020). Its results indicate a strong correlation between online behaviors, such as Google searches, and the real-time reproduction numbers. To validate the model's output of risk perception, this investigation conducted 10 rounds of cross-sectional telephone surveys on 8,593 local adult residents from February 1 through June 20 in 2020 to quantify risk perception levels over time.
WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICE?: Compared to the survey results, the estimates of the risk perception of individuals using our network-based mechanistic model capture 80% of the trend of people's risk perception (individuals who are worried about being infected) during the studied period. We may need to reinvigorate the public by involving people as part of the solution that reduced the risk to their lives.
关于该主题已知的信息有哪些?:在极端事件期间,人们可能会在网上参与集体行为,例如2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)危机期间,以表达认识、采取行动并梳理担忧情绪。
本报告新增了哪些内容?:本研究提供了一个框架,用于评估香港特别行政区(SAR)在COVID-19的前两波疫情(2020年2月至6月)期间个体情绪、认知与网络行为之间的相互作用。其结果表明,诸如谷歌搜索等网络行为与实时繁殖数之间存在很强的相关性。为了验证该模型风险认知的输出结果,本调查在2020年2月1日至6月20日期间,对8593名当地成年居民进行了10轮横断面电话调查,以量化不同时间的风险认知水平。
对公共卫生实践有哪些启示?:与调查结果相比,使用我们基于网络的机制模型对个体风险认知的估计,捕捉到了研究期间人们风险认知(担心被感染的个体)趋势的80%。我们可能需要让公众重新振作起来,让人们作为降低自身生命风险解决方案的一部分参与进来。