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结构因素在预防南非青少年感染艾滋病毒风险行为中的作用:对照料、教育、粮食安全和社会保护的三阶段分析

The role of structural factors for preventing HIV risk practices among adolescents in South Africa: A three-wave analysis of caregiving, education, food security, and social protection.

作者信息

Rudgard William Edward, Saminathen Maria Granvik, Banougnin Boladé Hamed, Shenderovich Yulia, Toska Elona

机构信息

University of Oxford.

University of Cape Town Centre for Social Science Research.

出版信息

Res Sq. 2023 Feb 7:rs.3.rs-2164051. doi: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-2164051/v1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Structural interventions are endorsed to enhance biomedical and behavioural HIV prevention programmes for adolescents. Aiming to inform future interventions, we evaluated longitudinal associations between six structural factors and five HIV risk practices in a cohort of adolescents in South Africa.

METHODS

We used three rounds of data between 2014-2018 on 1046 adolescents living with HIV and 483 age-matched community peers in South Africa's Eastern Cape (Observations = 4402). We used multivariable random effects within-between logistic regression to estimate sex-specific associations between six time-varying structural factors - number of social grants, education enrolment, days with enough food, caregiver supervision, positive caregiving, and adolescent-caregiver communication - and five HIV risk practices - multiple sexual partners, transactional sex, age-disparate sex, condomless sex, and sex on substances. We calculated probability differences, contrasting predicted probabilities at average and maximum values of structural factors associated with multiple risk practices.

FINDINGS

The sample mean age was 15.29 (SD: 3.23) years and 58% were female. In females, compared to average, maximum positive caregiving scores were associated with lower probability of transactional sex (-1.06 percentage points [ppts], 95%CI=-1.60; -0.52ppts), and age-disparate sex (-0.73ppts; 95%CI=-1.26; -0.19ppts); maximum caregiver supervision scores were associated with lower probability of multiple sexual partners (-3.11ppts; 95%CI=-3.87; -2.35ppts) transactional sex (-1.07ppts, 95%CI=-1.42; -0.71ppts), age-disparate sex (-0.67ppts; 95%CI=-1.08; -0.25ppts), condomless sex (-3.96ppts; 95%CI=-5.65; -2.26ppts), and sex on substances (-0.93ppts; 95%CI=-1.50; -0.37ppts); and, seven days with enough food was associated with lower probability of multiple sexual partners (-1.18ppts, 95%CI=-2.06; -0.30ppts), and transactional sex (-0.91ppts; 95%CI=-1.41; -0.42ppts). Relative to non-enrolment, education enrolment was associated with lower probability of age-disparate sex (-3.18ppts; 95%CI=-5.35; -1.01ppts), and condomless sex (-11.32ppts; 95%CI=-19.15; -3.49ppts). In males, compared to average, maximum caregiver supervision scores were associated with lower probability of multiple sexual partners (-2.83ppts; 95%CI=-3.66; -2.00ppts), transactional sex (-0.90ppts; 95%CI=-1.20; -0.60ppts), age-disparate sex (-0.46ppts; 95%CI=-0.77; -0.15ppts), and sex on substances (-1.42ppts; 95%CI=-2.06; -0.78ppts). No other structural factors were associated with multiple risk practices.

INTERPRETATION

Structural interventions to improve food security and education enrolment among adolescent girls, and positive and supervisory caregiving among adolescent girls and boys are likely to translate into crucial reductions in HIV risk.

摘要

背景

结构干预措施被认可用于加强针对青少年的生物医学和行为性艾滋病毒预防项目。为了为未来的干预措施提供信息,我们评估了南非一组青少年中六个结构因素与五种艾滋病毒风险行为之间的纵向关联。

方法

我们在2014年至2018年期间对南非东开普省的1046名感染艾滋病毒的青少年和483名年龄匹配的社区同龄人进行了三轮数据收集(观察值 = 4402)。我们使用多变量随机效应组内组间逻辑回归来估计六个随时间变化的结构因素(社会补助金数量、教育入学情况、有足够食物的天数、照顾者监督、积极的照顾以及青少年与照顾者的沟通)与五种艾滋病毒风险行为(多个性伴侣、交易性行为、年龄相差较大的性行为、无保护性行为以及在吸毒情况下发生性行为)之间的性别特异性关联。我们计算了概率差异,对比了与多种风险行为相关的结构因素的平均值和最大值时的预测概率。

结果

样本的平均年龄为15.29岁(标准差:3.23),58%为女性。在女性中,与平均值相比,最大积极照顾得分与交易性行为的较低概率相关(-1.06个百分点 [ppts],95%置信区间 = -1.60;-0.52ppts),以及年龄相差较大的性行为的较低概率相关(-0.73ppts;95%置信区间 = -1.26;-0.19ppts);最大照顾者监督得分与多个性伴侣的较低概率相关(-3.11ppts;95%置信区间 = -3.87;-2.35ppts)、交易性行为的较低概率相关(-1.07ppts,95%置信区间 = -1.42;-0.71ppts)、年龄相差较大的性行为的较低概率相关(-0.67ppts;95%置信区间 = -1.08;-0.25ppts)、无保护性行为的较低概率相关(-3.96ppts;95%置信区间 = -5.65;-2.26ppts)以及在吸毒情况下发生性行为的较低概率相关(-0.93ppts;95%置信区间 = -1.50;-0.37ppts);并且,有七天有足够食物与多个性伴侣的较低概率相关(-1.18ppts,95%置信区间 = -2.06;-0.30ppts)以及交易性行为的较低概率相关(-0.91ppts;95%置信区间 = -1.41;-0.42ppts)。相对于未入学,教育入学与年龄相差较大的性行为的较低概率相关(-3.18ppts;95%置信区间 = -5.35;-1.01ppts)以及无保护性行为的较低概率相关(-11.32ppts;95%置信区间 = -19.15;-3.49ppts)。在男性中,与平均值相比,最大照顾者监督得分与多个性伴侣的较低概率相关(-2.83ppts;95%置信区间 = -3.66;-2.00ppts)、交易性行为的较低概率相关(-0.90ppts;95%置信区间 = -1.20;-0.60ppts)、年龄相差较大的性行为的较低概率相关(-0.46ppts;95%置信区间 = -0.77;-0.15ppts)以及在吸毒情况下发生性行为的较低概率相关(-1.42ppts;95%置信区间 = -2.06;-0.78ppts)。没有其他结构因素与多种风险行为相关。

解读

改善青少年女孩的粮食安全和教育入学情况,以及青少年女孩和男孩的积极照顾与监督照顾的结构干预措施,可能会显著降低艾滋病毒风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5857/9934770/0ff6757098f2/nihpp-rs2164051v1-f0001.jpg

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