Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany.
University of Bamberg, Bamberg, Germany.
PLoS One. 2023 Feb 21;18(2):e0281893. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0281893. eCollection 2023.
We study how satisfaction with government efforts to respond to the COVID-19 crisis affects compliance with pandemic mitigation measures. Using a novel longitudinal household survey for Germany, we overcome the identification and endogeneity challenges involved in estimating individual compliance by using an instrumental variable approach that exploits exogenous variation in two indicators measured before the crisis: political party preferences and the mode of information measured by the frequency of using social media and reading newspapers. We find that a one unit increase in subjective satisfaction (on the 0-10 scale) improves protective behavior by 2-4 percentage points. Satisfaction with the government's COVID-19 management is lower among individuals with right-wing partisan preferences and among individuals who use only social media as an information source. Overall, our results indicate that the effectiveness of uniform policy measures in various domains, such as the health system, social security or taxation, especially during pandemic crises, cannot be fully evaluated without taking individual preferences for collective action into account.
我们研究了民众对政府应对 COVID-19 危机所作努力的满意度如何影响对大流行缓解措施的遵守情况。利用德国一项新颖的纵向家庭调查，我们通过使用工具变量方法来克服估计个人遵守情况所涉及的识别和内生性挑战，该方法利用了在危机之前测量的两个指标的外生变化：政党偏好和通过使用社交媒体和阅读报纸的频率来衡量的信息模式。我们发现，主观满意度（在 0-10 分制上）增加一个单位，可使保护行为增加 2-4 个百分点。对政府 COVID-19 管理的满意度在右翼党派偏好的个人和仅将社交媒体作为信息来源的个人中较低。总体而言，我们的结果表明，在不考虑个人对集体行动的偏好的情况下，无法充分评估卫生系统、社会保障或税收等各个领域的统一政策措施的有效性，尤其是在大流行危机期间。
