Hammond S R, de Wytt C, Maxwell I C, Landy P J, English D, McLeod J G, McCall M G
Department of Medicine, University of Sydney, Australia.
J Neurol Sci. 1987 Sep;80(2-3):185-204. doi: 10.1016/0022-510x(87)90154-7.
An epidemiological survey of multiple sclerosis (MS) in the State of Queensland was undertaken with its prevalence day being the national census day on June 30th, 1981, 20 years after a regional survey within the State. The relationship between increasing prevalence of MS and increasing south latitude within the State of Queensland which was suggested by the 1961 study was confirmed in the present study. The prevalence rate had increased significantly over the 20-year period between the studies but the State remained a medium frequency zone for MS (prevalence rate between 5 and 29 per 100,000 of population). Although a real increase in disease frequency could not be excluded as a contributing factor to the rise in prevalence, it was most likely due predominantly to an increase in life expectancy amongst the MS population and also in differential migration of a population at a greater risk of developing MS than the indigenous population. The proportions of Australian-born patients who had migrated to Queensland from the higher risk southern regions of Australia or travelled overseas to countries known to be high-risk for MS prior to disease onset, had fallen between the two surveys thus exerting, if anything, a negative influence on the change in prevalence. Analysis of MS prevalence rates amongst migrant populations in Queensland as compared to the more southerly city of Perth in Western Australia, suggested that the risk of acquisition of MS may extend over a wider age range than is generally accepted. Finally, there was an absence of MS cases amongst the Aboriginal population in Queensland but it can only cautiously be concluded from this study that the disease is rare in these peoples.
在昆士兰州进行了一项多发性硬化症(MS)的流行病学调查,其患病率调查日为1981年6月30日的全国人口普查日,这是该州进行区域调查20年后。1961年研究表明的昆士兰州MS患病率上升与纬度向南增加之间的关系在本研究中得到了证实。在这两项研究之间的20年里,患病率显著上升,但该州仍是MS的中频区(患病率为每10万人中有5至29例)。虽然不能排除疾病频率的实际增加是患病率上升的一个促成因素,但最有可能主要是由于MS患者人群预期寿命的增加,以及患MS风险高于原住民的人群的差异迁移。在两次调查之间,从澳大利亚南部高风险地区迁移到昆士兰州或在疾病发作前前往已知为MS高风险国家的海外旅行的澳大利亚出生患者的比例有所下降,因此,即使有影响,也对患病率的变化产生了负面影响。与西澳大利亚州更靠南的城市珀斯相比,对昆士兰州移民人群中MS患病率的分析表明,患MS的风险可能比普遍认为的年龄范围更广。最后,昆士兰州的原住民中没有MS病例,但从这项研究中只能谨慎地得出结论,这种疾病在这些人群中很罕见。