Betty Emma L, Stockin Karen A, Hinton Bethany, Bollard Barbara A, Orams Mark B, Murphy Sinéad
Cetacean Ecology Research Group, School of Natural Sciences, College of Sciences, Massey University, Auckland 0745, New Zealand.
School of Engineering, Mathematical and Computational Sciences, Faculty of Design and Creative Technologies, Auckland University of Technology, Auckland 1010, New Zealand.
J Mammal. 2022 Oct 27;104(1):39-48. doi: 10.1093/jmammal/gyac085. eCollection 2023 Feb.
Biodiversity loss is a major global challenge of the 21st century. Ultimately, extinctions of species are determined by birth and death rates; thus, conservation management of at-risk species is dependent on robust demographic data. In this study, data gathered from 381 (227 females, 154 males) long-finned pilot whales () that died in 14 stranding events on the New Zealand coast between 2006 and 2017 were used to construct the first age- and sex-specific life tables for the subspecies. Survivorship curves were fitted to these data using (1) a traditional maximum likelihood approach, and (2) Siler's competing-risk model. Life table construction and subsequent survival curves revealed distinct differences in the age- and sex-specific survival rates, with females outliving males. Both sexes revealed slightly elevated rates of mortality among the youngest age-classes (<2 years) with postweaning mortality rates decreasing and remaining relatively low until the average life expectancy is reached; 11.3 years for males and 14.7 years for females. Overall (total) mortality is estimated to be 8.8% and 6.8% per annum for males and females, respectively. The mortality curve resembles that of other large mammals, with high calf mortality, lower postweaning mortality, and an exponentially increasing risk of senescent mortality. An accelerated mortality rate was observed in mature females, in contrast to the closely related short-finned pilot whale (), which selects for an extension to the postreproductive life span. The reason for the observed differences in the mortality rate acceleration and postreproductive life span between the two pilot whale species have not been established and warrant further investigation. Obtaining robust information on the life history of long-lived species is challenging, but essential to improve our understanding of population dynamics and help predict how future pressures may impact populations. This study illustrates how demographic data from cetacean stranding events can improve knowledge of species survival rates, thus providing essential information for conservation management.
生物多样性丧失是21世纪的一项重大全球挑战。最终,物种灭绝由出生率和死亡率决定;因此,濒危物种的保护管理依赖于可靠的种群统计学数据。在本研究中,收集了2006年至2017年间在新西兰海岸14次搁浅事件中死亡的381头(227头雌性、154头雄性)长鳍领航鲸的数据,用于构建该亚种首个按年龄和性别的生命表。使用(1)传统最大似然法和(2)西勒竞争风险模型将生存曲线拟合到这些数据上。生命表构建及后续生存曲线揭示了按年龄和性别划分的生存率存在明显差异,雌性比雄性寿命长。两性在最年幼年龄组(<2岁)的死亡率均略有升高,断奶后死亡率下降,在达到平均预期寿命之前一直保持相对较低水平;雄性为11.3岁,雌性为14.7岁。总体(总)死亡率估计分别为雄性每年8.8%和雌性每年6.8%。死亡率曲线与其他大型哺乳动物相似,幼崽死亡率高,断奶后死亡率较低,衰老死亡率风险呈指数增加。在成熟雌性中观察到死亡率加速,这与亲缘关系密切的短鳍领航鲸不同,短鳍领航鲸选择延长繁殖后寿命。两种领航鲸物种在死亡率加速和繁殖后寿命方面观察到的差异原因尚未确定,值得进一步研究。获取有关长寿物种生活史的可靠信息具有挑战性,但对于增进我们对种群动态的理解以及帮助预测未来压力可能如何影响种群至关重要。本研究说明了来自鲸类搁浅事件的种群统计学数据如何能够提高对物种生存率的认识,从而为保护管理提供重要信息。