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基于MaxEnt模型和遥感数据的中国北方蝗虫潜在适宜栖息地评估

Assessment on Potential Suitable Habitats of the Grasshopper in North China based on MaxEnt Modeling and Remote Sensing Data.

作者信息

Sun Zhongxiang, Ye Huichun, Huang Wenjiang, Qimuge Erden, Bai Huiqing, Nie Chaojia, Lu Longhui, Qian Binxiang, Wu Bo

机构信息

China Agricultural Museum, Beijing 100125, China.

State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, Aerospace Information Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100094, China.

出版信息

Insects. 2023 Jan 29;14(2):138. doi: 10.3390/insects14020138.

Abstract

Grasshopper populations can quickly grow to catastrophic levels, causing a huge amount of damage in a short time. (Bey-Bienko) () is the most serious species in Xilingol League of the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. The region is not only an important grassland but also a site of agricultural heritage systems in China. Therefore, projecting the potential geographic distribution of to provide an early warning is vital. Here, we combined temperature, precipitation, soil, vegetation, and topography with remote sensing data to screen the predictors that best characterize the current geographical distribution of . A MaxEnt model approach was applied to project the potential suitable distribution of in Xilingol League (the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region of China) combined with a set of optimized parameters. The modeling results indicated that there were six main habitat factors that determined the suitable distribution of such as the soil type (ST), grassland type (GT), elevation, precipitation during the growing period (GP), precipitation during the spawning period (SP), and normalized difference vegetation index during the overwintering period (ONDVI). The simulated result was good, with average AUC and TSS values of 0.875 and 0.812, respectively. The potential inhabitable areas of grasshoppers were 198,527 km, distributed mainly in West Urumqi, Xilinhot City, East Urumqi, Abaga Banner, and Xianghuang Banner of Xilingol League. This study is valuable to guide managers and decision-makers to prevent and control the occurrence of early on and this study may facilitate meaningful reductions in pesticide application.

摘要

蝗虫种群数量可迅速增长至灾难性水平,在短时间内造成巨大破坏。(别伊 - 别恩科)()是内蒙古自治区锡林郭勒盟最严重的蝗虫种类。该地区不仅是重要的草原,也是中国农业遗产系统的所在地。因此,预测(蝗虫种类未明确)的潜在地理分布以提供早期预警至关重要。在此,我们将温度、降水、土壤、植被和地形与遥感数据相结合,筛选出最能表征(蝗虫种类未明确)当前地理分布的预测因子。应用最大熵(MaxEnt)模型方法,结合一组优化参数,预测(蝗虫种类未明确)在锡林郭勒盟(中国内蒙古自治区)的潜在适宜分布。建模结果表明,有六个主要栖息地因素决定了(蝗虫种类未明确)的适宜分布,如土壤类型(ST)、草地类型(GT)、海拔、生长季降水量(GP)、产卵期降水量(SP)和越冬期归一化植被指数(ONDVI)。模拟结果良好,平均AUC和TSS值分别为0.875和0.812。蝗虫的潜在可栖息面积为198,527平方千米,主要分布在锡林郭勒盟的西乌珠穆沁旗、锡林浩特市、东乌珠穆沁旗、阿巴嘎旗和镶黄旗。本研究对于指导管理人员和决策者尽早预防和控制(蝗虫种类未明确)的发生具有重要价值,且可能有助于大幅减少农药使用量。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3dab/9960082/3d40d372b377/insects-14-00138-g001.jpg

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