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利用流感监测系统估计 2023 年第 2 周至第 6 周期间中国北京的 SARS-CoV-2 感染人数。

Using an influenza surveillance system to estimate the number of SARS-CoV-2 infections in Beijing, China, weeks 2 to 6 2023.

机构信息

Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Dongcheng District, Beijing, China.

General Administration of Customs (Beijing) International Travel Health Care Center, Dongcheng District, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Euro Surveill. 2023 Mar;28(11). doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2023.28.11.2300128.

Abstract

With COVID-19 public health control measures downgraded in China in January 2023, reported COVID-19 case numbers may underestimate the true numbers after the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron wave. Using a multiplier model based on our influenza surveillance system, we estimated that the overall incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infections was 392/100,000 population in Beijing during the 5 weeks following policy adjustment. No notable change occurred after the Spring Festival in early February. The multiplier model provides an opportunity for assessing the actual COVID-19 situation.

摘要

随着中国 2023 年 1 月对 COVID-19 公共卫生控制措施的降级,报告的 COVID-19 病例数可能低估了奥密克戎浪潮后的真实数字。我们使用基于流感监测系统的乘数模型,估计在政策调整后的 5 周内,北京每 10 万人 SARS-CoV-2 感染的总发病率为 392/100000。2 月初春节后没有明显变化。乘数模型为评估实际 COVID-19 情况提供了机会。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f421/10021470/bc3cc7576d3e/2300128-f1.jpg

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