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隐性多数/少数共识:少数群体表现出与多数群体相似的支持移民的偏好模式。

The hidden majority/minority consensus: Minorities show similar preference patterns of immigrant support as the majority population.

机构信息

Cluster Data-Methods-Monitoring, DeZIM-Institute, Berlin, Germany.

Department for Political Science, University of Bamberg, Bamberg, Germany.

出版信息

Br J Sociol. 2023 Sep;74(4):711-716. doi: 10.1111/1468-4446.13013. Epub 2023 Mar 17.

Abstract

The acceptance of new arrivals has become an important topic regarding the social cohesion of the receiving countries. However, previous studies focused only on the native population's drivers of attitudes towards immigrants, disregarding that immigrant-origin inhabitants now form a considerable part of the population. To test whether the drivers for the willingness to support immigrants are the same for natives and immigrants and their descendants, we rely on a vignette study conducted in a representative German online panel (N = 3149) which contains an overrepresentation of immigrant-origin respondents. We presented participants with three vignettes of potential immigrants, varying, amongst other factors, economic prospects, safe and war-ridden countries of origin (to capture deservingness), as well as religious identity. While we find that minority members are generally slightly more welcoming towards immigrants than majority members, at their core are the same factors that drive attitudes to immigrants in both groups: economic cost, cultural similarity, and deservingness. However, we observe differences at the margins: Immigrant-origin respondents take into account economic prospects to a lesser degree than majority members do, and by trend, they are less likely to distinguish between immigrants from war-ridden and safe countries of origin. Furthermore, we can show that the preference for immigrants with the same religious identities not only occurs among majority members but also among minority members.

摘要

新移民的融入问题已成为接收国社会凝聚力的一个重要议题。然而,以往的研究仅关注本国人对移民的态度的驱动因素,而忽略了移民出身的居民现在已构成人口的相当一部分。为了检验对于支持移民的意愿,移民及其后代与本国人的驱动因素是否相同,我们依赖于在德国代表性在线小组(N=3149)中进行的情景研究,该研究中移民出身的受访者比例过高。我们向参与者展示了三个潜在移民的情景,这些情景在经济前景、原籍国安全和战乱(以捕捉应得性)以及宗教身份等因素方面有所不同。虽然我们发现少数群体成员通常比多数群体成员对移民更为欢迎,但在核心方面,这两个群体对移民的态度的驱动因素是相同的:经济成本、文化相似性和应得性。然而,我们在边缘观察到差异:移民出身的受访者对经济前景的重视程度低于多数群体成员,而且趋势是,他们不太可能区分来自战乱和安全原籍国的移民。此外,我们可以证明,对具有相同宗教身份的移民的偏好不仅存在于多数群体成员中,也存在于少数群体成员中。

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