Australian Institute of Health Innovation, Faculty of Medicine, Health and Human Sciences, Macquarie University, Australia.
J Sci Med Sport. 2023 Apr-May;26(4-5):241-246. doi: 10.1016/j.jsams.2023.03.006. Epub 2023 Mar 13.
To quantify changes in sport-related concussion and traumatic brain injury claims in New Zealand during the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic (i.e., 2020 and 2021).
Population-based cohort study.
This study included all new sport-related concussion and traumatic brain injury claims that were registered with the Accident Compensation Corporation in New Zealand during 1 January 2010 to 31 December 2021. Annual sport-related concussion and traumatic brain injury claim rates per 100,000 population from 2010 to 2019 were used to fit autoregressive integrated moving average models, from which forecast estimates with 95 % prediction intervals for 2020 and 2021 were derived and compared against corresponding observed values to obtain estimates of absolute and relative forecast errors.
Sport-related concussion and traumatic brain injury claim rates were 30 % and 10 % lower than forecasted in 2020 and 2021, respectively, equating to an estimated total of 2410 fewer sport-related concussion and traumatic brain injury claims during the two-year period.
There was a large reduction in sport-related concussion and traumatic brain injury claims in New Zealand during the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic. These findings highlight the need for future epidemiological studies examining temporal trends of sport-related concussion and traumatic brain injury to account for the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
量化 COVID-19 大流行(即 2020 年和 2021 年)的头两年新西兰与运动相关的脑震荡和创伤性脑损伤索赔的变化。
基于人群的队列研究。
本研究包括 2010 年 1 月 1 日至 2021 年 12 月 31 日期间在新西兰事故赔偿公司登记的所有新的与运动相关的脑震荡和创伤性脑损伤索赔。使用 2010 年至 2019 年每 10 万人的年度与运动相关的脑震荡和创伤性脑损伤索赔率来拟合自回归综合移动平均模型,从中得出 2020 年和 2021 年的预测估计值及其 95%预测区间,并与相应的观察值进行比较,以获得绝对和相对预测误差的估计值。
与运动相关的脑震荡和创伤性脑损伤的索赔率在 2020 年和 2021 年分别比预测值低 30%和 10%,这相当于在这两年期间估计总共减少了 2410 例与运动相关的脑震荡和创伤性脑损伤索赔。
在 COVID-19 大流行的头两年,新西兰与运动相关的脑震荡和创伤性脑损伤索赔大幅减少。这些发现强调了未来研究运动相关脑震荡和创伤性脑损伤的时间趋势的需要,以考虑 COVID-19 大流行的影响。