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髋关节置换术后15天的存活天数和出院情况可能与长期死亡率相关:观察性队列研究。

Days Alive and Out of Hospital at 15 Days after Hip Replacement May Be Associated with Long-Term Mortality: Observational Cohort Study.

作者信息

Oh Ah Ran, Kwon Ji-Hye, Park Jungchan, Jin Gayoung, Kong So Myung, Lee Sangmin Maria

机构信息

Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul 06351, Republic of Korea.

Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Kangwon National University Hospital, Chuncheon 24341, Republic of Korea.

出版信息

Diagnostics (Basel). 2023 Mar 17;13(6):1155. doi: 10.3390/diagnostics13061155.

Abstract

We aimed to evaluate the association between days alive and out of hospital (DAOH) and mortality at 15 days after a hip replacement. From March 2010 to June 2020, we identified 5369 consecutive adult patients undergoing hip replacements and estimated DAOH at 15, 30, 60, and 90 days after surgery. After excluding 13 patients who died within 15 days after surgery, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were then generated to evaluate predictabilities for each follow-up period. We compared the mortality risk according to the estimated thresholds of DAOH at 15 days after hip replacement. ROC analysis revealed areas under the curve of 0.862, 0.877, 0.906, and 0.922 for DAOH at 15, 30, 60, and 90 days after surgery, respectively. The estimated threshold of DAOH during the 15 postoperative days was 6.5. Patients were divided according to this threshold, and propensity score matching was conducted. In a propensity score-matched population with 864 patients in each group, the risk of mortality increased in patients with a lower DAOH 15 (2.8% vs. 8.1%; hazard ratio [HR] = 3.96; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.24-6.99; < 0.001 for one-year mortality, 5.2% vs. 13.0%; HR = 3.82; 95% CI: 2.33-6.28; < 0.001 for three-year mortality, and 5.9% vs. 15.6%; HR = 3.07; 95% CI: 2.04-4.61; < 0.001 for five-year mortality). In patients undergoing a hip replacement, DAOH at 15 days after surgery was shown to be associated with increased mortality. DAOH at 15 days may be used as a valid outcome measure for hip replacement.

摘要

我们旨在评估髋关节置换术后存活并出院天数(DAOH)与术后15天死亡率之间的关联。2010年3月至2020年6月,我们纳入了5369例连续接受髋关节置换术的成年患者,并估算了术后15天、30天、60天和90天的DAOH。排除术后15天内死亡的13例患者后,绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线以评估各随访期的预测能力。我们根据髋关节置换术后15天DAOH的估计阈值比较了死亡风险。ROC分析显示,术后15天、30天、60天和90天DAOH的曲线下面积分别为0.862、0.877、0.906和0.922。术后15天DAOH的估计阈值为6.5。根据该阈值对患者进行分组,并进行倾向评分匹配。在每组864例患者的倾向评分匹配人群中,DAOH较低的患者死亡风险增加(1年死亡率:2.8%对8.1%;风险比[HR]=3.96;95%置信区间[CI]:2.24 - 6.99;P<0.001;3年死亡率:5.2%对13.0%;HR = 3.82;95% CI:2.33 - 6.28;P<0.001;5年死亡率:5.9%对15.6%;HR = 3.07;95% CI:2.04 - 4.61;P<0.001)。在接受髋关节置换术的患者中,术后15天的DAOH与死亡率增加相关。术后15天的DAOH可作为髋关节置换术的有效结局指标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6703/10047336/b3eacce67fcb/diagnostics-13-01155-g001.jpg

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