Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de Lisboa, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisboa, Portugal.
Division of Nephrology and Renal Transplantation, Centro Hospitalar Universitário Lisboa No Lisboa, Portugal.
Ren Fail. 2023 Dec;45(1):2182615. doi: 10.1080/0886022X.2023.2182615.
The first few months of hemodialysis (HD) are associated with a higher risk of mortality. Protein-energy malnutrition is a demonstrated major risk factor for mortality in this population. The C-Reactive Protein to Albumin ratio (CAR) has also been associated with increased mortality risk. The aim of this study was to determine the predictive value of CAR for six-month mortality in incident HD patients.
Retrospective analysis of incident HD patients between January 2014 and December 2019. CAR was calculated at the start of HD. We analyzed six-month mortality. A Cox regression was performed to predict six-month mortality and the discriminatory ability of CAR was determined using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
A total of 787 patients were analyzed (mean age 68.34 ± 15.5 years and 60.6% male). The 6-month mortality was 13.8% ( = 109). Patients who died were significantly older ( < 0.001), had more cardiovascular disease ( = 0.010), had central venous catheter at the start of HD ( < 0.001), lower parathyroid hormone (PTH) level ( = 0.014) and higher CAR ( = 0.015). The AUC for mortality prediction was 0.706 (95% CI (0.65-0.76), < 0.001). The optimal CAR cutoff was 0.5, HR 5.36 (95% CI 3.21-8.96, < 0.001).
We demonstrated that higher CAR was significantly associated with a higher mortality risk in the first six months of HD, highlighting the prognostic importance of malnutrition and inflammation in patients starting chronic HD.
血液透析(HD)的头几个月与死亡率较高相关。蛋白质能量营养不良是该人群死亡的一个已证实的主要危险因素。C 反应蛋白与白蛋白比值(CAR)也与增加的死亡风险相关。本研究的目的是确定 CAR 对起始 HD 的患者 6 个月死亡率的预测价值。
回顾性分析 2014 年 1 月至 2019 年 12 月期间新开始 HD 的患者。在开始 HD 时计算 CAR。我们分析了 6 个月的死亡率。进行 Cox 回归以预测 6 个月死亡率,并使用接收者操作特征(ROC)曲线确定 CAR 的区分能力。
共分析了 787 例患者(平均年龄 68.34±15.5 岁,60.6%为男性)。6 个月的死亡率为 13.8%( =109)。死亡患者明显更年长( <0.001),患有更多心血管疾病( =0.010),开始 HD 时就有中心静脉导管( <0.001),甲状旁腺激素(PTH)水平较低( =0.014),CAR 较高( =0.015)。死亡率预测的 AUC 为 0.706(95%CI(0.65-0.76), <0.001)。最佳 CAR 截断值为 0.5,HR 为 5.36(95%CI 3.21-8.96, <0.001)。
我们证明,较高的 CAR 与 HD 开始后前 6 个月的死亡率显著相关,突出了营养不良和炎症在开始慢性 HD 的患者中的预后重要性。