Norwich Medical School, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK.
School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK.
Ann Epidemiol. 2023 Jun;82:66-76.e6. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2023.03.009. Epub 2023 Mar 30.
Most index cases with novel coronavirus infections transmit disease to just one or two other individuals, but some individuals "super-spread"-they infect many secondary cases. Understanding common factors that super-spreaders may share could inform outbreak models, and be used to guide contact tracing during outbreaks.
We searched in MEDLINE, Scopus, and preprints to identify studies about people documented as transmitting pathogens that cause SARS, MERS, or COVID-19 to at least nine other people. We extracted data to describe them by age, sex, location, occupation, activities, symptom severity, any underlying conditions, disease outcome and undertook quality assessment for outbreaks published by June 2021.
The most typical super-spreader was a male age 40+. Most SARS or MERS super-spreaders were very symptomatic, the super-spreading occurred in hospital settings and frequently the individual died. In contrast, COVID-19 super-spreaders often had very mild disease and most COVID-19 super-spreading happened in community settings.
SARS and MERS super-spreaders were often symptomatic, middle- or older-age adults who had a high mortality rate. In contrast, COVID-19 super-spreaders tended to have mild disease and were any adult age. More outbreak reports should be published with anonymized but useful demographic information to improve understanding of super-spreading, super-spreaders, and the settings in which super-spreading happens.
大多数新型冠状病毒感染的首发病例仅将疾病传播给一到两个人,但有些个体“超级传播者”-他们会感染许多继发病例。了解超级传播者可能共有的常见因素可以为疫情模型提供信息,并用于指导疫情期间的接触者追踪。
我们在 MEDLINE、Scopus 和预印本中搜索了关于被记录为传播 SARS、MERS 或 COVID-19 病原体的人至少将病原体传播给另外九个人的研究。我们提取了数据,通过年龄、性别、地点、职业、活动、症状严重程度、任何潜在疾病、疾病结果来描述他们,并对截至 2021 年 6 月发表的疫情进行了质量评估。
最典型的超级传播者是 40 岁以上的男性。大多数 SARS 或 MERS 超级传播者症状非常严重,超级传播发生在医院环境中,并且经常导致个体死亡。相比之下,COVID-19 超级传播者通常疾病非常轻微,并且大多数 COVID-19 超级传播发生在社区环境中。
SARS 和 MERS 超级传播者通常是有症状的中老年成年人,死亡率很高。相比之下,COVID-19 超级传播者往往疾病轻微,任何年龄段的成年人都可能成为超级传播者。应该发表更多带有匿名但有用的人口统计学信息的疫情报告,以提高对超级传播者、超级传播事件和超级传播发生的环境的认识。