[Contamination and Probabilistic Health Risk Assessment of Heavy Metals in Agricultural Soils Around a Lead-Zinc Smelter].

In order to identify the contamination and health risks of heavy metals in agricultural soils, a total of 56 surface soil samples (0-20 cm) were collected around a Pb-Zn smelter in Yunnan Province, and six heavy metals (Pb, Cd, Zn, As, Cu, and Hg) and pH were analyzed to assess heavy metal status, ecological risk, and probabilistic health risk. The results revealed that the average contents of six heavy metals (Pb:4413.93 mg·kg, Cd:6.89 mg·kg, Zn:1672.76 mg·kg, As:44.45 mg·kg, Cu:47.61 mg·kg, and Hg:0.21 mg·kg) were higher than their background values in Yunnan Province. Cd had the highest mean geo-accumulation index () of 0.24, the highest mean pollution index () of 30.42, and the greatest average ecological risk index () of 1312.60, indicating that Cd was the primary enriched and highest-ecological risk pollutant. The mean hazard index (HI) through exposure to six HMs was 2.42E-01 and 9.36E-01 for adults and children, respectively, with 36.63% of HI values for children exceeding the risk threshold of 1. Moreover, the mean total cancer risks (TCR) were 6.98E-05 and 5.93E-04 for adults and children, respectively, with 86.85% of TCR values for children exceeding the guideline value of 1E-04. The probabilistic health risk assessment suggested that Cd and As were the main contributors for the non-carcinogenic risks and carcinogenic risks. This work will provide scientific reference for the precise risk management and effective remediation strategy of soil heavy metal pollution in this study area.