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血小板-白蛋白-胆红素评分和中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值预测感染奥密克戎变异株的终末期肾病患者入住重症监护病房:一项单中心前瞻性队列研究。

Platelet-albumin-bilirubin score and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predict intensive care unit admission in patients with end-stage kidney disease infected with the Omicron variant of COVID-19: a single-center prospective cohort study.

机构信息

Department of Gastroenterology, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai, China.

Department of Nephrology, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

Ren Fail. 2023 Dec;45(1):2199097. doi: 10.1080/0886022X.2023.2199097.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to develop clinical scores to predict the risk of intensive care unit (ICU) admission in patients with COVID-19 and end stage kidney disease (ESKD).

METHODS

This was a prospective study in which 100 patients with ESKD were enrolled and divided into two groups: the ICU group and the non-ICU group. We utilized univariate logistic regression and nonparametric statistics to analyze the clinical characteristics and liver function changes of both groups. By plotting receiver operating characteristic curves, we identified clinical scores that could predict the risk of ICU admission.

RESULTS

Out of the 100 patients with Omicron infection, 12 patients were transferred to the ICU due to disease aggravation, with an average of 9.08 days from hospitalization to ICU transfer. Patients transferred to the ICU more commonly experienced shortness of breath, orthopnea, and gastrointestinal bleeding. The peak liver function and changes from baseline in the ICU group were significantly higher, with values <.05. We found that the baseline platelet-albumin-bilirubin score (PALBI) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were good predictors of ICU admission risk, with area under curve values of 0.713 and 0.770, respectively. These scores were comparable to the classic Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE-II) score ( > .05).

CONCLUSION

Patients with ESKD and Omicron infection who are transferred to the ICU are more likely to have abnormal liver function. The baseline PALBI and NLR scores can better predict the risk of clinical deterioration and early transfer to the ICU for treatment.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在开发临床评分,以预测 COVID-19 和终末期肾病(ESKD)患者入住重症监护病房(ICU)的风险。

方法

这是一项前瞻性研究,共纳入 100 例 ESKD 患者,并分为 ICU 组和非 ICU 组。我们利用单因素逻辑回归和非参数统计分析了两组的临床特征和肝功能变化。通过绘制受试者工作特征曲线,我们确定了可以预测 ICU 入住风险的临床评分。

结果

在 100 例感染奥密克戎的患者中,有 12 例因病情加重而转入 ICU,从住院到转入 ICU 的平均时间为 9.08 天。转入 ICU 的患者更常出现呼吸困难、端坐呼吸和胃肠道出血。ICU 组的肝功能峰值和从基线的变化显著更高, 值 <.05。我们发现,基线血小板-白蛋白-胆红素评分(PALBI)和中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)是 ICU 入住风险的良好预测指标,曲线下面积分别为 0.713 和 0.770,与经典急性生理学和慢性健康评估 II(APACHE-II)评分相当( > .05)。

结论

感染奥密克戎并转入 ICU 的 ESKD 患者更有可能出现肝功能异常。基线 PALBI 和 NLR 评分可以更好地预测临床恶化和早期转至 ICU 治疗的风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b2d0/10114985/ba4471b4e1db/IRNF_A_2199097_F0001_B.jpg

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