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台湾地区 COVID-19 疾病负担:应用蒙特卡罗模拟的伤残调整生命年(DALYs)

Disease burden due to COVID-19 in Taiwan: Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) with implication of Monte Carlo simulations.

机构信息

Department of Public Health, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung 40201, Taiwan.

Department of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan University, Taipei 10617, Taiwan.

出版信息

J Infect Public Health. 2023 Jun;16(6):884-892. doi: 10.1016/j.jiph.2023.03.028. Epub 2023 Mar 29.

DOI:10.1016/j.jiph.2023.03.028
PMID:37058869
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10060021/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has affected a large number of countries. Informing the public and decision makers of the COVID-19's economic burdens is essential for understanding the real pandemic impact.

METHODS

COVID-19 premature mortality and disability impact in Taiwan was analyzed using the Taiwan National Infectious Disease Statistics System (TNIDSS) by estimating the sex/age-specific years of life lost through death (YLLs), the number of years lived with disability (YLDs), and the disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from January 2020 to November 2021.

RESULTS

Taiwan recorded 1004.13 DALYs (95% CI: 1002.75-1005.61) per 100,000 population for COVID-19, with YLLs accounting for 99.5% (95% CI: 99.3%99.6%) of all DALYs, with males suffering more from the disease than females. For population aged ≥ 70 years, the disease burdens of YLDs and YLLs were 0.1% and 99.9%, respectively. Furthermore, we found that duration of disease in critical state contributed 63.9% of the variance in DALY estimations.

CONCLUSIONS

The nationwide estimation of DALYs in Taiwan provides insights into the demographic distributions and key epidemiological parameter for DALYs. The essentiality of enforcing protective precautions when needed is also implicated. The higher YLLs percentage in DALYs also revealed the fact of high confirmed death rates in Taiwan. To reduce infection risks and disease, it is crucial to maintain moderate social distancing, border control, hygiene measures, and increase vaccine coverage levels.

摘要

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https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/84a5/10060021/37e4487e732a/gr3_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/84a5/10060021/b1c517f50c1c/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/84a5/10060021/bb98aa412404/gr2_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/84a5/10060021/37e4487e732a/gr3_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/84a5/10060021/b1c517f50c1c/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/84a5/10060021/bb98aa412404/gr2_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/84a5/10060021/37e4487e732a/gr3_lrg.jpg

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