Atmospheric Observations Research Group, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia.
Department of Environment and Science, Queensland Government, Brisbane, Australia.
Sci Rep. 2023 Apr 19;13(1):6397. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-33613-1.
Widespread coral bleaching was observed over the Great Barrier Reef, Australia, the world's largest coral reef during the 2021-2022 La Niña. This raised concerns that background global warming may have crossed a critical threshold causing thermal stress to corals during a climate state historically associated with increased cloud cover, rainfall and cooler summer water temperatures. Here we present an analysis of recent summer La Niña events focused on their synoptic meteorology and corresponding water temperatures over the Great Barrier Reef. Results show that the 2021-2022 summer La Niña caused accumulated coral heat stress to exceed previous La Niña conditions by 2.5 times. We find that weather patterns that favoured the build-up of heat in water overlying the Great Barrier Reef during the 2021-2022 summer were likely the result of repositioning of planetary scale atmospheric longwaves. This insight provides an additional means to predict potential future atmospheric conditions that increase the risk of extremely high water temperatures and coral bleaching in the Great Barrier Reef.
澳大利亚大堡礁在 2021-2022 年拉尼娜现象期间经历了广泛的珊瑚白化现象,这是世界上最大的珊瑚礁。这引发了人们的担忧,即背景全球变暖可能已经越过了一个关键阈值,导致珊瑚在历史上与云量增加、降雨和夏季水温下降相关的气候状态下承受热应力。在这里,我们分析了最近的夏季拉尼娜事件,重点关注其天气的整体气象学特征和大堡礁相应的水温。结果表明,2021-2022 年夏季拉尼娜事件导致珊瑚热应激的累积量超过了之前拉尼娜事件的 2.5 倍。我们发现,有利于在 2021-2022 年夏季大堡礁上方的海水中积聚热量的天气模式可能是行星尺度大气长波重新定位的结果。这一见解提供了一种额外的手段,可以预测可能增加大堡礁极高水温和珊瑚白化风险的未来大气条件。