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预测无症状性大脑中动脉狭窄患者认知障碍的列线图

Nomogram to Predict Cognitive Impairment in Patients with Asymptomatic Middle Cerebral Artery Stenosis.

作者信息

Li Jiayang, Wang Shaoshuai, Li Jun, Fang Yalan, Wang Ying, Zhang Yuanyuan

机构信息

Department of Neurology, First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Int J Gen Med. 2023 Apr 15;16:1333-1343. doi: 10.2147/IJGM.S407728. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

PURPOSE

This study aims to investigate the characteristics and influencing factors of cognitive impairment in patients with asymptomatic middle cerebral artery stenosis (aMCAS) and to construct a nomogram to predict the risk of cognitive impairment in patients with aMCAS.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We collected 54 patients with aMCAS and 35 healthy controls to investigate the impaired cognitive domains and pathogenesis in patients with aMCAS. All patients underwent a cranial MRI, CT perfusion, transcranial Doppler ultrasound, blood tests, and a comprehensive neuropsychological evaluation. According to the MoCA score, patients were divided into cognitively normal and cognitively impaired groups. To construct the nomogram, we conducted univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to identify factors that affect cognitive function. And the performance of nomogram was evaluated by ROC curves, calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), and clinical impact curve (CIC).

RESULTS

In 54 patients with aMCAS, 24 patients presented with cognitive normal, and 30 patients presented with cognitive impairment. The results of multivariate logistic regression suggested that perfusion decompensation, middle cerebral artery mean flow velocity, and LDL-cholesterol levels were independent influencing factors of cognitive impairment. In the following step, a nomogram was constructed. The AUC of the nomogram is 0.862. Calibrating curves show good agreement between nomogram predictions and actual observations, while DCA and CIC show great clinical usefulness.

CONCLUSION

Patients with aMCAS have cognitive impairment in multiple cognitive domains, and impaired executive function was observed during the perfusion compensation period. Furthermore, a nomogram was constructed and validated to predict the risk of cognitive impairment in patients with aMCAS, which can help clinicians to identify at an early stage and improve the management of patients.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在探讨无症状性大脑中动脉狭窄(aMCAS)患者认知障碍的特征及影响因素,并构建列线图以预测aMCAS患者的认知障碍风险。

患者与方法

我们收集了54例aMCAS患者和35例健康对照者,以研究aMCAS患者认知领域受损情况及发病机制。所有患者均接受头颅MRI、CT灌注成像、经颅多普勒超声检查、血液检查及全面的神经心理学评估。根据蒙特利尔认知评估量表(MoCA)评分,将患者分为认知正常组和认知障碍组。为构建列线图,我们进行了单因素和多因素逻辑回归分析以确定影响认知功能的因素。并通过受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线)、校准曲线、决策曲线分析(DCA)和临床影响曲线(CIC)对列线图的性能进行评估。

结果

在54例aMCAS患者中,24例认知正常,30例存在认知障碍。多因素逻辑回归结果显示,灌注失代偿、大脑中动脉平均血流速度及低密度脂蛋白胆固醇水平是认知障碍的独立影响因素。接下来,构建了列线图。该列线图的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.862。校准曲线显示列线图预测与实际观察结果之间具有良好的一致性,而DCA和CIC显示出较大的临床实用性。

结论

aMCAS患者在多个认知领域存在认知障碍,且在灌注代偿期观察到执行功能受损。此外,构建并验证了列线图以预测aMCAS患者的认知障碍风险,这有助于临床医生早期识别并改善对患者的管理。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5d93/10115204/0019e576fde0/IJGM-16-1333-g0001.jpg

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