Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3), Edificio Sede N° 1, Planta 1ª, Parque Científico de UPV/EHU, Barrio Sarriena s/n, 48940 Leioa, Bizkaia, Spain; Basque Foundation for Science (Ikerbasque), Bilbao, Spain.
Department of Physics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Animal. 2023 May;17(5):100790. doi: 10.1016/j.animal.2023.100790. Epub 2023 Mar 29.
Ruminant livestock is a large contributor of CH emissions globally Assessing how this CH and other greenhouse gases (GHG) from livestock contribute to anthropogenic climate change is key to understanding their role in achieving any temperature targets. The climate impacts of livestock, as well as other sectors or products/services, are generally expressed as CO-equivalents using 100-year Global Warming Potentials (GWP). However, the GWP cannot be used to translate emission pathways of short-lived climate pollutants (SLCPs) emissions to their temperature outcomes. A key limitation of handling long- and short-lived gases in the same manner is revealed in the context of any potential temperature stabilisation goals: to achieve this outcome, emissions of long-lived gases must decline to net-zero, but this is not the case for SLCPs. A recent alternative metric, GWP* (so-called 'GWP-star'), has been proposed to overcome these concerns. GWP* allows for simple appraisals of warming over time for emission series of different GHGs that may not be obvious if using pulse-emission metrics (i.e. GWP). In this article, we explore some of the strengths and limitations of GWP* for reporting the contribution of ruminant livestock systems to global temperature change. A number of case studies are used to illustrate the potential use of the GWP* metric to, for example, understand the current contribution of different ruminant livestock production systems to global warming, appraise how different production systems or mitigations compare (having a temporal element), and seeing how possible emission pathways driven by changes in production, emissions intensity and gas composition show different impacts over time. We suggest that for some contexts, particularly if trying to directly infer contributions to additional warming, GWP* or similar approaches can provide important insight that would not be gained from conventional GWP reporting.
反刍动物养殖是全球 CH 排放的主要贡献者。评估这些 CH 以及其他家畜温室气体 (GHG) 对人为气候变化的影响是理解其在实现任何温度目标中作用的关键。家畜以及其他部门或产品/服务的气候影响通常使用 100 年全球升温潜能值 (GWP) 表示为 CO 等效物。然而,GWP 不能用于将短寿命气候污染物 (SLCP) 排放的排放途径转化为其温度结果。在任何潜在的温度稳定目标背景下,以相同方式处理长寿命和短寿命气体的一个关键限制是:为了实现这一结果,长寿命气体的排放必须降至净零,但 SLCP 情况并非如此。最近提出了一种替代指标,即 GWP*(所谓的“GWP-star”),以克服这些问题。GWP* 允许对不同 GHG 的排放系列进行随时间的变暖进行简单评估,如果使用脉冲排放指标(即 GWP),则可能不明显。在本文中,我们探讨了 GWP* 报告反刍动物养殖系统对全球温度变化的贡献的一些优势和局限性。使用了一些案例研究来说明 GWP* 指标的潜在用途,例如,了解不同反刍动物养殖系统对全球变暖的当前贡献,评估不同生产系统或缓解措施的比较(具有时间因素),以及了解由生产、排放强度和气体组成变化驱动的可能排放途径如何随着时间的推移显示出不同的影响。我们认为,对于某些情况,特别是如果试图直接推断对额外变暖的贡献,GWP* 或类似方法可以提供重要的见解,而这些见解无法从传统的 GWP 报告中获得。