Yalçın Nadir, Kaşıkcı Merve, Çelik Hasan Tolga, Allegaert Karel, Demirkan Kutay, Yiğit Şule, Yurdakök Murat
Department of Clinical Pharmacy, Faculty of Pharmacy, Hacettepe University, Ankara, Türkiye.
Department of Biostatistics, Faculty of Medicine, Hacettepe University, Ankara, Türkiye.
Front Pharmacol. 2023 Apr 14;14:1151560. doi: 10.3389/fphar.2023.1151560. eCollection 2023.
To develop models that predict the presence of medication errors (MEs) (prescription, preparation, administration, and monitoring) using machine learning in NICU patients. Prospective, observational cohort study randomized with machine learning (ML) algorithms. A 22-bed capacity NICU in Ankara, Turkey, between February 2020 and July 2021. A total of 11,908 medication orders (28.9 orders/patient) for 412 NICU patients (5.53 drugs/patient/day) who received 2,280 prescriptions over 32,925 patient days were analyzed. At least one physician-related ME and nurse-related ME were found in 174 (42.2%) and 235 (57.0%) of the patients, respectively. The parameters that had the highest correlation with ME occurrence and subsequently included in the model were: total number of drugs, anti-infective drugs, nervous system drugs, 5-min APGAR score, postnatal age, alimentary tract and metabolism drugs, and respiratory system drugs as patient-related parameters, and weekly working hours of nurses, weekly working hours of physicians, and number of nurses' monthly shifts as care provider-related parameters. The obtained model showed high performance to predict ME (AUC: 0.920; 95% CI: 0.876-0.970) presence and is accessible online (http://softmed.hacettepe.edu.tr/NEO-DEER_Medication_Error/). This is the first developed and validated model to predict the presence of ME using work environment and pharmacotherapy parameters with high-performance ML algorithms in NICU patients. This approach and the current model hold the promise of implementation of targeted/precision screening to prevent MEs in neonates. ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier NCT04899960.
利用机器学习开发预测新生儿重症监护病房(NICU)患者用药错误(MEs)(处方、配药、给药和监测)情况的模型。采用机器学习(ML)算法进行前瞻性观察队列研究并随机分组。2020年2月至2021年7月期间,在土耳其安卡拉一家拥有22张床位的NICU进行研究。对412名NICU患者(每位患者每天5.53种药物)在32925个患者日里开具的2280份处方中的11908份用药医嘱(每位患者28.9份医嘱)进行了分析。分别在174名(42.2%)和235名(57.0%)患者中发现了至少1例与医生相关的ME和与护士相关的ME。与ME发生相关性最高并随后纳入模型的参数有:作为患者相关参数的药物总数、抗感染药物、神经系统药物、5分钟阿氏评分、出生后年龄、消化道和代谢药物以及呼吸系统药物,以及作为护理提供者相关参数的护士每周工作时长、医生每周工作时长和护士每月轮班次数。所获得的模型在预测ME存在方面表现出高性能(AUC:0.920;95% CI:0.876 - 0.970),并且可在线获取(http://softmed.hacettepe.edu.tr/NEO-DEER_Medication_Error/)。这是首个利用工作环境和药物治疗参数,通过高性能ML算法开发并验证的用于预测NICU患者ME存在情况的模型。这种方法和当前模型有望实现针对性/精准筛查,以预防新生儿的MEs。ClinicalTrials.gov标识符:NCT04899960。