Wilson David B, Brennan Iain, Olaghere Ajima
Campbell Syst Rev. 2018 Jun 1;14(1):1-88. doi: 10.4073/csr.2018.5. eCollection 2018.
This Campbell systematic review examines the effects police-initiated diversion programs on delinquent behavior, compared to traditional system processing. The review summarizes evidence from nineteen high-quality studies, including 13 randomized controlled trials and six quasi-experimental studies. This review includes studies that evaluated the effects of police-led diversionary practices compared to traditional processing for youth under 18 years of age. We identified a total of 14 manuscripts representing 19 evaluations. Of these 19 evaluations, 13 used randomized controlled designs (random assignment to conditions) and 6 used quasi-experimental designs (no random assignment to conditions). Many of these designs included two or more diversionary conditions compared to a common control (traditional processing) producing 31 treatment-comparison contrasts for analysis. These studies were conducted between 1973 and 2011, inclusively. Most were conducted in the USA (11) with the remaining conducted in Canada (4), Australia (2), and the UK (2). The general pattern of evidence is positive, suggesting that police-led diversion reduces the future delinquent behavior of low-risk youth relative to traditional processing. Assuming a 50 percent reoffending rate for the traditional processing condition, the results suggest a reoffending rate of roughly 44 percent for the diverted youth. This overall benefit of diversion holds for the random assignment studies judged to be free from any obvious risks of bias. No meaningful differences were found across types of diversionary programs. Furthermore, we found no evidence to suggest these findings suffer from publication selection bias.
Police-led diversion of low-risk youth who come into contact with the justice system is more effective in reducing a youth's future contact with the justice system compared to traditional processing. Youth misconduct and misbehavior is a normal part of adolescence and that misbehavior sometimes crosses the line from disruptive or problematic to delinquent. Nationally representative surveys of youth in the USA have indicated that minor delinquent behavior is normative, particularly for boys. The normative nature of minor delinquent behavior raises the question of how police should respond to minor delinquent behavior in a way that is corrective, but also avoids involving the youth in the criminal justice system beyond what will be effective in reducing future misbehavior.Police diversion schemes are a collection of strategies police can apply as an alternative to court processing of youth. Diversion as an option is popular among law enforcement officers, as it provides an option between ignoring youth engaged in minor wrongdoing and formally charging such youth with a crime. Police-led diversion has the potential to reduce reoffending by limiting the exposure of low-risk youth to potentially harmful effects of engagement with the criminal justice system. This review includes studies that evaluated the effects of police-led diversionary practices compared to traditional processing for youth under 18 years of age. We identified a total of 14 manuscripts representing 19 evaluations. Of these 19 evaluations, 13 used randomized controlled designs (random assignment to conditions) and 6 used quasi-experimental designs (no random assignment to conditions). Many of these designs included two or more diversionary conditions compared to a common control (traditional processing) producing 31 treatment-comparison contrasts for analysis. These studies were conducted between 1973 and 2011, inclusively. Most were conducted in the USA (11) with the remaining conducted in Canada (4), Australia (2), and the UK (2).The general pattern of evidence is positive, suggesting that police-led diversion reduces the future delinquent behavior of low-risk youth relative to traditional processing. Assuming a 50 percent reoffending rate for the traditional processing condition, the results suggest a reoffending rate of roughly 44 percent for the diverted youth. This overall benefit of diversion holds for the random assignment studies judged to be free from any obvious risks of bias. No meaningful differences were found across types of diversionary programs. Furthermore, we found no evidence to suggest these findings suffer from publication selection bias. The findings from this systematic review support the use of police-led diversion for low-risk youth with limited or no prior involvement with the juvenile justice system. Thus, police departments and policy-makers should consider diversionary programs as part of the mix of solutions for addressing youth crime.Many of the studies included in the review were conducted in the 1970s and 1980s. Newer high quality studies are needed to ensure that the findings still hold for contemporary juvenile justice contexts. Additional studies are also needed outside of the USA for this same reason. Finally, we recommend that research explore the usefulness of diversion for low-risk adult offenders. The search for eligible studies was completed in January of 2017, so only studies identifiable through January 2017 were included. This Campbell systematic review was published in May 2018.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY/ABSTRACT: Overly punitive responses to youth misconduct may have the unintended consequence of increasing the likelihood of future delinquency; yet, overly lenient responses may fail to serve as a corrective for the misbehavior. Police diversion schemes are a collection of strategies police can apply as an alternative to court processing of youth. Police-initiated diversion schemes aim to reduce reoffending by steering youth away from deeper penetration into the criminal justice system and by providing an alternative intervention that can help youth address psychosocial development or other needs that contribute to their problem behavior. The objective of this review was to synthesize the evidence on the effectiveness of pre-court interventions involving police warning or counseling and release, and cautioning schemes in reducing delinquent behavior. A combination of 26 databases and websites were searched. References of relevant reviews were also scanned to identify studies. We also consulted with experts in the field. Searches were executed by two reviewers and conducted between August 2016 and January 2017. Only experimental and quasi-experimental designs were eligible for this review. All quasi-experimental designs must have had a comparison group similar to the police diversion intervention group with respect to demographic characteristics and prior involvement in delinquent behavior (i.e., at similar risk for future delinquent behavior). Additionally, studies must have included youth participants between 12 and 17 years of age who either underwent traditional system processing or were diverted from court processing through a police-led diversion program. Studies were also eligible if delinquency-related outcomes, including official and non-official (self-report or third-party reporting) measures of delinquency were reported. This study used meta-analysis to synthesize results across studies. This method involved systematic coding of study features and conversion of study findings into effect sizes reflecting the direction and magnitude of any police-led diversion effect. There were 19 independent evaluations across the 14 primary documents coded for this review. From this, we coded 67 effect sizes of delinquent behavior post diversion across 31 diversion-traditional processing comparisons. We analyzed these comparisons using two approaches. The first approach selected a single effect size per comparison based on a decision rule and the second used all 67 effect sizes, nesting these within comparison condition and evaluation design. The general pattern of evidence is positive, suggesting that police-led diversion modestly reduces future delinquent behavior of low-risk youth relative to traditional processing. The findings from this systematic review support the use of police-led diversion for low-risk youth with limited or no prior involvement with the juvenile justice system. Thus, police departments and policy-makers should consider diversionary programs as part of the mix of solutions for addressing youth crime.
本坎贝尔系统评价研究了与传统系统处理方式相比,警方发起的分流项目对青少年犯罪行为的影响。该评价总结了19项高质量研究的证据,其中包括13项随机对照试验和6项准实验研究。本评价纳入了评估警方主导的分流措施与针对18岁以下青少年的传统处理方式相比所产生效果的研究。我们共识别出14篇代表19项评估的手稿。在这19项评估中,13项采用了随机对照设计(随机分配到不同条件),6项采用了准实验设计(未随机分配到不同条件)。这些设计中有许多包含两种或更多种分流条件,并与一个共同对照(传统处理方式)进行比较,从而产生31个用于分析的治疗 - 对照对比。这些研究的开展时间跨度为1973年至2011年(含)。大部分研究在美国进行(11项),其余的分别在加拿大(4项)、澳大利亚(2项)和英国(2项)开展。证据的总体模式是积极的,这表明与传统处理方式相比,警方主导的分流措施能减少低风险青少年未来的犯罪行为。假设传统处理方式下的再犯率为50%,结果表明被分流的青少年的再犯率约为44%。对于被判定不存在任何明显偏倚风险的随机分配研究,分流的这一总体益处依然成立。不同类型的分流项目之间未发现有意义的差异。此外,我们没有发现证据表明这些研究存在发表偏倚。
与传统处理方式相比,警方主导的对与司法系统有接触的低风险青少年的分流措施,在减少青少年未来与司法系统的接触方面更有效。青少年的不当行为和不良举止是青春期的正常现象,而且这种不良行为有时会从具有干扰性或问题性跨越到违法犯罪。美国全国性的青少年代表性调查表明,轻微犯罪行为很常见,尤其是对男孩而言。轻微犯罪行为的普遍性引发了一个问题,即警方应如何以一种具有矫正作用的方式应对轻微犯罪行为,同时又避免让青少年过度卷入刑事司法系统,超出减少未来不当行为所需的程度。警方分流计划是警方可采用的一系列策略,作为青少年法庭处理的替代方式。作为一种选择,分流在执法人员中很受欢迎,因为它提供了一种介于忽视从事轻微不法行为的青少年和正式指控此类青少年犯罪之间的选择。警方主导的分流措施有可能通过限制低风险青少年接触刑事司法系统的潜在有害影响来减少再犯。本评价纳入了评估警方主导的分流措施与针对18岁以下青少年的传统处理方式相比所产生效果的研究。我们共识别出1篇代表19项评估的手稿。在这19项评估中,13项采用了随机对照设计(随机分配到不同条件),6项采用了准实验设计(未随机分配到不同条件)。这些设计中有许多包含两种或更多种分流条件,并与一个共同对照(传统处理方式)进行比较,从而产生31个用于分析的治疗 - 对照对比。这些研究的开展时间跨度为1973年至2011年(含)。大部分研究在美国进行(11项),其余的分别在加拿大(4项)、澳大利亚(2项)和英国(2项)开展。证据的总体模式是积极的,这表明与传统处理方式相比,警方主导的分流措施能减少低风险青少年未来的犯罪行为。假设传统处理方式下的再犯率为50%,结果表明被分流的青少年的再犯率约为44%。对于被判定不存在任何明显偏倚风险的随机分配研究,分流的这一总体益处依然成立。不同类型的分流项目之间未发现有意义的差异。此外,我们没有发现证据表明这些研究存在发表偏倚。本系统评价的结果支持对之前很少或没有卷入少年司法系统的低风险青少年采用警方主导的分流措施。因此,警察部门和政策制定者应将分流计划视为解决青少年犯罪的一系列解决方案的一部分。本评价中纳入的许多研究是在20世纪70年代和80年代进行的。需要更新的高质量研究来确保这些结果在当代少年司法背景下仍然适用。出于同样的原因,在美国以外的地区也需要更多的研究。最后,我们建议研究探索分流措施对低风险成年罪犯的有效性。对符合条件的研究的检索于2017年1月完成,因此仅纳入了截至2017年1月可识别的研究。本坎贝尔系统评价于2018年5月发表。
执行摘要/摘要:对青少年不当行为采取过度惩罚性的应对措施可能会产生意外后果,即增加未来犯罪的可能性;然而,过度宽松的应对措施可能无法对不当行为起到矫正作用。警方分流计划是警方可采用的一系列策略,作为青少年法庭处理的替代方式。警方发起的分流计划旨在通过引导青少年避免更深地卷入刑事司法系统,并提供一种替代干预措施,帮助青少年解决心理社会发展问题或导致其问题行为的其他需求,从而减少再犯。本评价的目的是综合关于涉及警方警告或咨询及释放的法庭前干预措施以及告诫计划在减少犯罪行为方面有效性的证据。我们搜索了26个数据库和网站的组合。还浏览了相关综述的参考文献以识别研究。我们还咨询了该领域的专家。检索由两名评审员执行,时间为2016年8月至2017年1月。只有实验性和准实验性设计符合本评价的要求。所有准实验性设计必须有一个在人口统计学特征和先前犯罪行为参与情况(即未来犯罪行为风险相似)方面与警方分流干预组相似 的对照组。此外,研究必须纳入年龄在12至17岁之间的青少年参与者,这些青少年要么接受传统系统处理,要么通过警方主导的分流计划从法庭处理中被分流。如果报告了与犯罪相关的结果,包括官方和非官方(自我报告或第三方报告)的犯罪衡量指标,那么这些研究也符合要求。本研究使用荟萃分析来综合各项研究的结果。这种方法涉及对研究特征进行系统编码,并将研究结果转化为反映任何警方主导的分流效果的方向和大小的效应量。本评价对14篇主要文献进行了编码,共有19项独立评估。据此,我们对31个分流 - 传统处理比较中的67个犯罪行为分流后效应量进行了编码。我们使用两种方法分析这些比较。第一种方法根据决策规则为每个比较选择一个单一效应量,第二种方法使用所有67个效应量,将它们嵌套在比较条件和评估设计中。证据的总体模式是积极的,这表明与传统处理方式相比,警方主导的分流措施适度减少了低风险青少年未来的犯罪行为。本系统评价的结果支持对之前很少或没有卷入少年司法系统的低风险青少年采用警方主导的分流措施。因此,警察部门和政策制定者应将分流计划视为解决青少年犯罪的一系列解决方案的一部分。