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技术和经济复杂度对发展中国家和发达国家的环境污染和经济增长的影响:使用 IPAT 和 STIRPAT 模型。

Impact of technology and economic complexity on environmental pollution and economic growth in developing and developed countries: using IPAT and STIRPAT models.

机构信息

Zhengzhou Yongfeng Biofertilizer Industry Co., Ltd., Zhengzhou, 450001, China.

Chair of Economic Growth, Structural Change and Trade, University of Greifswald, Greifswald, Germany.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jun;30(29):73349-73360. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-27569-y. Epub 2023 May 15.

Abstract

These days, the most serious threats to the global economy, society, and humans are climate change and global warming, mainly rooted in the sharp increase of economic activities and their concomitant greenhouse gas emissions. This paper aims to investigate how economic complexity and various sectors of the economy affect environmental and economic development. This study employs a modified IPAT and STIRPAT model to investigate the relationship of environmental pollution and economic development with economic complexity, economic structure, and technology in 21 MENA and 34 OECD countries between 1971-2017. Our findings show that economic complexity and industrialization positively affect economic growth in both groups of countries. However, economic complexity and industrialization affect environmental pollution in MENA and developing countries positively but in OECD and developed countries negatively. This relationship accepts the Environmental Kuznets Hypothesis for the nexus of economic complexity and environmental pollution. According to the findings, policymakers in developing countries should increase environmental considerations in their development planning. Also, developed countries should assist developing countries in their endeavors to decrease environmental contamination by supplying technology transfer and financial aid.

摘要

如今,对全球经济、社会和人类构成最严重威胁的是气候变化和全球变暖,其主要根源是经济活动的急剧增加及其伴随的温室气体排放。本文旨在研究经济复杂性和经济各部门如何影响环境和经济发展。本研究采用改进的 IPAT 和 STIRPAT 模型,考察了 1971-2017 年间 21 个 MENA 国家和 34 个经合组织国家的环境污染与经济发展与经济复杂性、经济结构和技术之间的关系。我们的研究结果表明,经济复杂性和工业化对这两个国家集团的经济增长都有积极影响。然而,经济复杂性和工业化对 MENA 和发展中国家的环境污染有正向影响,但对经合组织和发达国家的环境污染有负向影响。这一关系接受了经济复杂性和环境污染之间的环境库兹涅茨假说。根据研究结果,发展中国家的政策制定者应该在其发展规划中增加对环境的考虑。此外,发达国家应通过技术转让和财政援助,协助发展中国家努力减少环境污染。

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