Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO 80309, USA.
Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO 80309, USA.
Science. 2023 May 19;380(6646):743-749. doi: 10.1126/science.abo2812. Epub 2023 May 18.
Climate change and human activities increasingly threaten lakes that store 87% of Earth's liquid surface fresh water. Yet, recent trends and drivers of lake volume change remain largely unknown globally. Here, we analyze the 1972 largest global lakes using three decades of satellite observations, climate data, and hydrologic models, finding statistically significant storage declines for 53% of these water bodies over the period 1992-2020. The net volume loss in natural lakes is largely attributable to climate warming, increasing evaporative demand, and human water consumption, whereas sedimentation dominates storage losses in reservoirs. We estimate that roughly one-quarter of the world's population resides in a basin of a drying lake, underscoring the necessity of incorporating climate change and sedimentation impacts into sustainable water resources management.
气候变化和人类活动日益威胁着储存了地球 87%液态地表水的湖泊。然而,全球范围内湖泊体积变化的近期趋势和驱动因素在很大程度上仍不为人知。在这里,我们利用三十年的卫星观测、气候数据和水文模型分析了 1972 年最大的全球湖泊,发现 1992 年至 2020 年间,其中 53%的水体的储水量呈明显下降趋势。在自然湖泊中,净体积损失主要归因于气候变暖、蒸发需求增加和人类用水量增加,而水库的储水损失则主要归因于泥沙淤积。我们估计,世界上大约四分之一的人口居住在一个湖泊流域,这凸显了将气候变化和泥沙淤积影响纳入可持续水资源管理的必要性。