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碳价格与技术创新对减排的协同与组合效应:来自中国工业企业的证据。

The combining and cooperative effects of carbon price and technological innovation on carbon emission reduction: Evidence from China's industrial enterprises.

机构信息

Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China; School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China.

Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China; School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China; Sustainable Development Research Institute for Economy and Society of Beijing, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Lab of Energy Economics and Environmental Management, Beijing, China.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2023 Oct 1;343:118188. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118188. Epub 2023 May 23.

Abstract

To achieve the carbon peaking and neutrality targets in China, carbon price and technological innovation will play increasingly important roles in recent future. It is widely-known that carbon price and technological innovation can contribute significantly to emission reduction, respectively; but it is still unclear whether the cooperation effects of carbon price and technological innovation would be positive or negative. In this paper, we assume that there are 3 types of emission reduction measures in China's industrial enterprises, which are improvement of energy efficiency, adjustment of energy structure, and substitution of pollution inputs and non-pollution inputs; then we introduce carbon price and technological innovation respectively and simultaneously, and establish 12 scenarios based on the Data Envelopment Analysis models combined with material balance principal (DEA-MBP), and estimate the additional emission reductions and additional production costs of China's industrial enterprises when carbon price and technological innovation exist respectively or simultaneously. The counterfactually estimating results show that there would be significant regional and sectorial heterogeneities in carbon emission reduction characteristics for China's industrial enterprises. If low-carbon technologies in some sectors have the ability to reduce carbon emissions at the expense of high additional production cost, carbon pricing policies would encourage enterprises to adopt new mitigation technologies and increase additional emission reduction by more than 20%, especially technologies focusing on the adjustment of energy structure and the substitution of pollution inputs by non-pollution inputs. However, in some sectors which have already been covered by carbon pricing policies, the additional carbon pricing policy may not have a significant effect on emission reduction, and the emission reduction would decrease by 10%.

摘要

为实现中国碳达峰碳中和目标,未来碳价和技术创新将在减排中发挥越来越重要的作用。众所周知,碳价和技术创新分别对减排有显著贡献,但碳价和技术创新的协同效应是正向还是负向仍不明确。本文假设中国工业企业有 3 种减排措施,即能源效率提升、能源结构调整和污染投入与清洁投入替代,分别引入碳价和技术创新,并基于数据包络分析模型结合物质平衡原理(DEA-MBP)构建 12 种情景,估算中国工业企业在分别引入碳价和技术创新以及同时引入碳价和技术创新时的额外减排量和额外生产成本。反事实估算结果表明,中国工业企业的碳减排特征存在显著的区域和部门异质性。如果某些部门的低碳技术能够以较高的额外生产成本为代价减少碳排放,碳定价政策将鼓励企业采用新的减排技术,增加 20%以上的额外减排量,特别是侧重于能源结构调整和污染投入替代的技术。然而,在一些已经受到碳定价政策覆盖的部门,额外的碳定价政策可能对减排没有显著影响,减排量反而会减少 10%。

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